Micron Technology Inc
MUMicron Technology Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- EPS growth 258% YoY (7.72 TTM) vs industry median 12% - cyclical upswing in full force[EPS Growth 1yr]
- Capex of 15.9B TTM (42% of revenue) crushes FCF to 1.7B despite 17.5B operating cash flow[Capital Expenditure TTM]
- Operating margin 26.2% vs industry median 2.4% - 10x advantage at cycle peak[Operating Margin TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 35% — First signal of pricing pressure; currently 39.8% - 500bps cushion before margin compression accelerates
- Inventory TTM: Exceeds 10B or >90 days — At 8.4B now; inventory build signals demand weakness before revenue declines
- Capital Expenditure TTM: Exceeds 18B annually — Would eliminate FCF entirely; signals competitive pressure intensifying
Bull Case
AI/HBM supercycle: 37.4B revenue with 26% operating margin and 258% EPS growth positions MU as primary beneficiary of datacenter memory demand
Balance sheet strength: 0.28 debt/equity with 9.6B cash provides flexibility through inevitable cyclical downturn
Bear Case
Peak cycle valuation: P/E 32x at cycle high vs historical troughs of 5-10x; margins mean-revert violently in memory
Capex trap: 15.9B annual spend (42% of revenue) required to compete; FCF yield 0.6% despite record profits
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
HBM/AI demand extends cycle but capex intensity limits shareholder returns near-term
- 15.9B annual capex for HBM capacity expansion
- FCF yield under 1% despite record profitability
- Inventory at 8.4B signals production ramp
Public Strategies Rankings
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MU Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$262.97B | — | ||
$268.6B | — | ||
30 | — | ||
$37.38B | +48.9% | — | |
$7.72 | +1057.9% | — | |
26.2% | +21.3% | — | |
22.8% | +19.7% | — | |
$1.67B | +1278.5% | — | |
0.17 | +15.5% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
MU Dividend History
MU Stock Splits
MU SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
10/03/25 | 08/28/25 | Unknown | |
06/26/25 | 05/29/25 | 10-Q | |
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