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Neogen Corp

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Neogen Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Goodwill/intangibles of 2.5B represent 116% of equity - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-336M), signaling impairment risk[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]
  • Net loss of -1.04B TTM on 887M revenue (-118% net margin) driven by 1B+ EBIT loss - burning cash despite 46% gross margin[Net Income TTM]
  • Interest expense of 69M TTM on 793M debt while operating income is -20M - debt service unsustainable without turnaround[Interest Expense TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Income TTM: Turns positive for 2 consecutive quartersSignals turnaround traction; currently -20M with 69M interest burden
  • Goodwill: Impairment charge announced1.07B goodwill at risk given -1B EBIT; impairment would crush book value further
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Positive for 2+ quartersCurrently -3M; positive FCF needed to service 793M debt without dilution

Bull Case

Gross margin of 46% TTM near industry median (55%) shows core business viable - opex cuts could swing to profitability quickly

Gross Margin TTMOperating Expense TTM

EV of 2.2B at 2.4x revenue for 887M revenue business - if margins normalize to 10% operating, significant upside

Enterprise ValueP/S Ratio

Bear Case

Intangibles 116% of equity with -1B EBIT TTM suggests goodwill impairment likely - could wipe remaining equity cushion

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsTangible Book Value

FCF of -3M TTM with 90M capex and 69M interest - no margin for error; debt refinancing risk if losses persist

Free Cash Flow TTMTotal DebtInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

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Forward Thesis

Restructuring must deliver operating profitability within 12-18 months or equity value erodes further

1-3ylow
  • 46% gross margin provides runway if opex rationalized
  • 793M debt requires EBITDA coverage improvement
  • Negative tangible equity limits financing options
Operating margin -2.3% TTM vs 46% gross marginInterest expense 69M vs operating income -20MTangible book value -336M

Valuation Context

Caveats

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