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Nine Energy Service Inc

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Nine Energy Service Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-04-02

Snapshot

  • Equity is -115.0M (TTM) with 382.6M total debt vs 53.3M EBITDA — leverage at 7.2x EBITDA, interest expense of 55.2M nearly consumes all EBITDA.[Total Debt / EBITDA / Interest Expense]
  • Net margin TTM -9.1% vs industry median +5.4%; FCF TTM -23.3M. Revenue down -7.4% 3Y CAGR while peers grew +7.1%.[Net Margin / Free Cash Flow / Revenue 3Y Growth]
  • Goodwill & intangibles of 68.1M (TTM) sit on -115.0M equity — any impairment deepens insolvency on an already negative book value.[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets / Total Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 10MWith -2.2M operating CF and 55.2M annual interest, cash depletion accelerates restructuring timeline
  • EBITDA: Rises above 70M (>1.3x interest expense)Would signal first meaningful debt coverage cushion — prerequisite for any equity recovery thesis
  • Gross Margin: Sustains above 15% for two quartersAt 10.7% TTM vs 19.7% industry median, margin recovery is the key lever for solvency

Bull Case

Asset turnover TTM 1.61x is 3.3x the industry median (0.49x), showing capital-light ops that could generate outsized cash flow if pricing improves even modestly.

Asset TurnoverTotal Revenue

P/S ratio 0.60x TTM vs industry median 1.73x — if revenue stabilizes and margins normalize to even half industry median, EV repricing potential is material.

P/S RatioGross MarginEnterprise Value

Bear Case

Interest expense of 55.2M TTM exceeds EBITDA of 53.3M — the company cannot service its debt from operations. Negative equity of -115.0M means no asset cushion for creditors.

Interest ExpenseEBITDATotal Equity

FCF -23.3M and operating CF -2.2M TTM with only 18.4M cash. Revenue declining -7.4% 3Y CAGR while losing money — liquidity crisis risk is elevated.

Free Cash FlowCash and EquivalentsRevenue 3Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Debt service burden likely forces restructuring or dilutive capital raise within 12-24 months

1-3yhigh
  • Interest expense 55.2M TTM vs EBITDA 53.3M — no coverage cushion
  • FCF -23.3M TTM with negative equity of -115.0M
  • Cash of 18.4M provides limited runway
Total Debt 382.6M, Long-Term Debt 362.9M (TTM)Operating CF -2.2M TTM, negative FCF -23.3M TTMTangible Book Value -183.0M (TTM)

Revenue contraction and margin pressure unlikely to reverse without oilfield activity recovery

1-3ymed
  • 3Y revenue CAGR -7.4% vs industry median +7.1%
  • Gross margin 10.7% TTM vs industry median 19.7%
  • Operating income near zero at 0.4M TTM
Total Revenue TTM 561.9M, shrinkingOperating Margin 0.07% TTM vs median 9.7%EPS TTM -1.25

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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