Nine Energy Service Inc
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Nine Energy Service Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Equity is -115.0M (TTM) with 382.6M total debt vs 53.3M EBITDA — leverage at 7.2x EBITDA, interest expense of 55.2M nearly consumes all EBITDA.[Total Debt / EBITDA / Interest Expense]
- Net margin TTM -9.1% vs industry median +5.4%; FCF TTM -23.3M. Revenue down -7.4% 3Y CAGR while peers grew +7.1%.[Net Margin / Free Cash Flow / Revenue 3Y Growth]
- Goodwill & intangibles of 68.1M (TTM) sit on -115.0M equity — any impairment deepens insolvency on an already negative book value.[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets / Total Equity]
Watch Triggers
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 10M — With -2.2M operating CF and 55.2M annual interest, cash depletion accelerates restructuring timeline
- EBITDA: Rises above 70M (>1.3x interest expense) — Would signal first meaningful debt coverage cushion — prerequisite for any equity recovery thesis
- Gross Margin: Sustains above 15% for two quarters — At 10.7% TTM vs 19.7% industry median, margin recovery is the key lever for solvency
Bull Case
Asset turnover TTM 1.61x is 3.3x the industry median (0.49x), showing capital-light ops that could generate outsized cash flow if pricing improves even modestly.
P/S ratio 0.60x TTM vs industry median 1.73x — if revenue stabilizes and margins normalize to even half industry median, EV repricing potential is material.
Bear Case
Interest expense of 55.2M TTM exceeds EBITDA of 53.3M — the company cannot service its debt from operations. Negative equity of -115.0M means no asset cushion for creditors.
FCF -23.3M and operating CF -2.2M TTM with only 18.4M cash. Revenue declining -7.4% 3Y CAGR while losing money — liquidity crisis risk is elevated.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Debt service burden likely forces restructuring or dilutive capital raise within 12-24 months
- Interest expense 55.2M TTM vs EBITDA 53.3M — no coverage cushion
- FCF -23.3M TTM with negative equity of -115.0M
- Cash of 18.4M provides limited runway
Revenue contraction and margin pressure unlikely to reverse without oilfield activity recovery
- 3Y revenue CAGR -7.4% vs industry median +7.1%
- Gross margin 10.7% TTM vs industry median 19.7%
- Operating income near zero at 0.4M TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats
NINE Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$145.08M | — | ||
$260.35M | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$0 | — | ||
$0.00 | — | ||
0% | — | ||
0% | — | ||
$0 | — | ||
0% | — | ||
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
NINE Dividend History
NINE Stock Splits
NINE SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
03/31/26 | 03/31/26 | 10-Q | |
03/04/26 | 12/31/25 | Unknown | |
10/30/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/05/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/07/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
03/06/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
10/31/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/06/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/07/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
03/08/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/07/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/04/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/09/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
03/08/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/07/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/04/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/05/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
03/08/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/04/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/05/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/06/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
03/08/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
11/06/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
08/07/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/08/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
03/10/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/12/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/12/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/08/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
03/07/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/13/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/13/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/14/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
03/29/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
01/22/18 | 09/30/17 | 424B4 | |
08/14/17 | 06/30/17 | S-1/A | |
05/14/18 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
01/22/18 | 12/31/16 | 424B4 | |
09/30/16 | 09/30/16 | Unknown | -- |