Northrop Grumman Corp
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Northrop Grumman Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Goodwill of 17.4B is 109% of equity (15.9B) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-1.7B), creating material impairment risk[Goodwill]
- Operating margin TTM 10% vs industry median 5.1% - 2x advantage despite defense sector cost pressures[Operating Margin TTM]
- ROE TTM 26.2% vs industry median 8.4% - 3x capital efficiency driven by leverage (1.06 debt/equity)[ROE TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Goodwill: Any impairment charge announced — At 109% of equity, even 10% impairment would reduce book value by 11%
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 1.5B or FCF margin below 3.5% — Would threaten dividend coverage (1.3B annual) and debt paydown
- Operating Margin TTM: Drops below 8% — Signals cost overruns or contract repricing pressure
Bull Case
Defense prime with 40.9B TTM revenue (10x industry median) and sticky government contracts creates durable moat with 10% operating margins
Shareholder returns via 8.74 dividend (4.2% yield) plus debt reduction while maintaining ROIC of 12.5% vs industry 4%
Bear Case
Negative tangible book (-1.7B) with goodwill at 109% of equity - any impairment directly erodes already-leveraged balance sheet
FCF margin only 4.5% (1.8B/40.9B) limits buyback capacity and debt reduction speed given 17B total debt load
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
FCF conversion to improve as capex cycle matures - currently 1.8B FCF on 3.4B operating cash flow
- Capex at 1.6B (4% of revenue) elevated vs peers
- PPE base of 12.3B approaching steady-state
- Debt paydown of 566M signals capital discipline
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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NOC Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$98.67B | — | ||
$111.29B | — | ||
24 | — | ||
$41.95B | +2.2% | — | |
$29.08 | -2.1% | — | |
10.2% | -0.4% | — | |
9.97% | -0.2% | — | |
$3.31B | +26.2% | — | |
26.2% | -1.6% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
NOC Dividend History
2026
$2.31002025
$8.99002024
$8.05002023
$7.34002022
$6.76002021
$6.16002020
$5.67002019
$5.16002018
$4.70002017
$3.90002016
$3.50002015
$3.10002014
$2.71002013
$2.38002012
$2.15002011
$1.97002010
$1.84002009
$1.69002008
$1.57002007
$1.48002006
$1.16002005
$1.01002004
$0.89002003
$0.80002002
$0.80002001
$0.80002000
$0.8000NOC Stock Splits
NOC SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
01/27/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
10/21/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
07/22/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
04/22/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
01/30/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
10/24/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
07/25/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
04/25/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
01/25/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
10/26/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
07/27/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
04/27/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
01/26/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
10/27/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
07/28/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
04/28/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
01/27/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
10/28/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
07/29/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
04/29/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
01/28/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
10/22/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
07/30/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
04/29/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
01/30/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
10/24/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
07/24/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
04/24/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
01/31/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
10/24/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
07/25/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
04/25/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
01/29/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
10/25/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
07/26/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
04/26/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
01/30/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
10/26/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
07/27/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
04/27/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
02/01/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
10/28/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
07/29/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
04/29/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
02/02/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
10/22/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-Q | |
07/23/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
04/23/14 | 03/31/14 | 10-Q | |
02/03/14 | 12/31/13 | 10-K | |
10/23/13 | 09/30/13 | 10-Q | |
07/24/13 | 06/30/13 | 10-Q | |
04/24/13 | 03/31/13 | 10-Q | |
02/05/13 | 12/31/12 | 10-K | |
10/24/12 | 09/30/12 | 10-Q | |
07/25/12 | 06/30/12 | 10-Q | |
04/25/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
02/08/12 | 12/31/11 | 10-K | |
10/26/11 | 09/30/11 | 10-Q | |
07/27/11 | 06/30/11 | 10-Q | |
04/27/11 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
02/09/11 | 12/31/10 | 10-K | |
10/27/10 | 09/30/10 | 10-Q | |
07/29/10 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | |
04/28/10 | 03/31/10 | 10-Q | |
02/09/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-K | |
10/21/09 | 09/30/09 | 10-Q | |
07/23/09 | 06/30/09 | 10-Q | |
04/22/09 | 03/30/09 | 10-Q | |
02/10/09 | 12/31/08 | 4 | |
10/22/08 | 09/30/08 | 4 | |
07/29/08 | 06/30/08 | 4 | |
04/24/08 | 03/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
02/20/08 | 12/31/07 | 4 | |
10/24/07 | 09/30/07 | 10-Q | |
07/24/07 | 06/30/07 | 4 | |
04/24/07 | 03/31/07 | 4 | |
02/21/07 | 12/31/06 | 10-K | |
10/24/06 | 09/30/06 | 10-Q | |
07/27/06 | 06/30/06 | 4 | |
04/25/06 | 03/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
02/17/06 | 12/31/05 | 4 | |
10/25/05 | 09/30/05 | 4 | |
07/28/05 | 06/30/05 | 10-Q | |
04/28/05 | 03/30/05 | Unknown | -- |
03/04/05 | 12/31/04 | 10-K | |
10/27/04 | 09/30/04 | 10-Q | |
07/29/04 | 06/30/04 | 10-Q | |
05/04/04 | 03/30/04 | Unknown | -- |
03/10/04 | 12/31/03 | 10-K | |
11/06/03 | 09/30/03 | 10-Q | |
08/06/03 | 06/30/03 | 10-Q | |
05/14/03 | 03/30/03 | Unknown | -- |
03/24/03 | 12/31/02 | 10-K | |
11/12/02 | 09/30/02 | 10-Q | |
07/30/02 | 06/30/02 | 10-Q | |
05/10/02 | 03/30/02 | Unknown | -- |
03/22/02 | 12/31/01 | 10-K405 | |
11/05/01 | 09/30/01 | 10-Q | |
08/09/01 | 06/30/01 | 10-Q | |
05/10/01 | 03/30/01 | Unknown | -- |
12/31/00 | 12/31/00 | Unknown | -- |
09/30/00 | 09/30/00 | Unknown | -- |
06/30/00 | 06/30/00 | Unknown | -- |
03/31/00 | 03/30/00 | Unknown | -- |