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NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc

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NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-05-21

Snapshot

  • Negative equity of -13.8M with current liabilities (25.2M) exceeding total assets (11.9M) — technically insolvent balance sheet.[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • TTM FCF of -14.9M vs 6.7M cash on hand implies ~5 months of runway without new capital raises.[Free Cash Flow]
  • P/S ratio of 48.3x vs industry median 2.2x — 22x premium on just 2.3M TTM revenue.[P/S Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 3MAt -14.9M annual burn, sub-3M cash signals imminent dilutive raise or going-concern risk
  • Total Revenue: Exceeds 5M quarterly run-rateWould indicate commercial traction sufficient to narrow operating losses toward sustainability
  • Current Liabilities: Rises above 30MAlready 2.1x total assets; further growth could trigger creditor actions or covenant issues

Bull Case

Gross margin TTM of 50.5% exceeds industry median of 46.8%, suggesting viable unit economics if revenue scales from current 2.3M base.

Gross MarginTotal Revenue

EV of 105M with 3.5M in unusual items (gain on sale of security) shows optionality; a single drug approval could transform the revenue profile.

Enterprise ValueTotal Unusual Items

Bear Case

Negative equity (-13.8M), negative working capital (-17.8M), and 25.2M current liabilities create existential solvency risk requiring continuous dilutive financing.

Common Stockholders EquityWorking CapitalCurrent Liabilities

At 48.3x P/S on 2.3M revenue with -24.5M net loss TTM, valuation prices in success with no margin of safety for a pre-profitability biotech.

P/S RatioNet IncomeEPS

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Cash runway exhaustion likely forces dilutive equity raise within 6 months

3-12mhigh
  • 6.7M cash vs -14.9M TTM FCF burn rate
  • Already issued 3.4M in equity TTM
  • Current liabilities of 25.2M dwarf current assets of 7.4M
End Cash Position: 6.7M, down from 7.8M priorIssuance of Capital Stock TTM: 3.4MWorking Capital: -17.8M

Revenue of 2.3M TTM is insufficient to cover 18.4M opex — path to breakeven unclear

1-3yhigh
  • Operating loss of -17.2M on 2.3M revenue
  • R&D spend of 4.3M is 1.9x total revenue
  • Operating margin of -751% vs industry median -6.1%
Operating Margin TTM: -751.2%Total Revenue TTM: 2.3MOperating Expense TTM: 18.4M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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