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Omeros Corp

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Omeros Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-21

Snapshot

  • Zero revenue TTM with -129.4M operating loss and only 2.4M cash remaining - severe liquidity crisis imminent.[Cash and Equivalents]
  • Negative equity of -220.5M with 191.6M total debt creates -3.63 P/B ratio - technically insolvent balance sheet.[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • R&D spend of 85.2M TTM (66% of opex) with zero revenue suggests pre-commercial biotech burning through capital.[Research and Development]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 1M or new financing announcedSurvival depends on imminent capital raise - watch for dilutive terms
  • Total Revenue: Any revenue recognition >0First revenue signals FDA approval and commercial launch - thesis inflection
  • Total Debt: Increases above 200M or covenant breachDebt restructuring could accelerate equity wipeout

Bull Case

800M market cap implies market pricing meaningful probability of pipeline success - R&D investment of 85M TTM could yield blockbuster if approved.

Market CapResearch and Development

Minimal capex (-91K TTM) means nearly all spend goes to drug development, not infrastructure - pure optionality play.

Capital ExpenditureResearch and Development

Bear Case

2.4M cash vs 105M annual burn = ~8 days runway. Imminent dilution or bankruptcy without near-term financing.

Cash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow

Negative equity (-220.5M) with 192M debt means existing shareholders wiped out in any restructuring scenario.

Common Stockholders EquityTotal Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Binary outcome: FDA approval or dilutive financing required within 6 months given 2.4M cash vs 105M annual burn.

3-12mhigh
  • Cash runway under 2 weeks at current burn rate
  • 29.3M equity issuance TTM signals ongoing dilution
  • No revenue path without regulatory catalyst
Cash 2.4M vs FCF burn -105.3M TTMNet stock issuance 29.3M TTMTotal revenue 0 TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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