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Orion Properties Inc

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Orion Properties Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-02

Snapshot

  • Net loss of -136.3M TTM yields -90% net margin vs industry median +15.5% - severe operational distress[Net Margin TTM]
  • Trading at 0.2x book value (P/B) with 131M market cap vs 579M tangible book - priced for liquidation[P/B Ratio]
  • 110M current debt due with only 32.6M cash and -15M FCF TTM - near-term refinancing critical[Current Debt]

Watch Triggers

  • Current Debt: Refinancing announcement or maturity extension110M due soon with 32.6M cash - survival depends on this
  • Operating Margin TTM: Improvement above 5%Currently 0.3% - needs 15x improvement to cover interest
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turn positive-15M FCF means equity dilution or asset sales inevitable

Bull Case

Deep value at 0.2x P/B and 0.87x P/S - if company survives refinancing, tangible book of 579M implies 4x upside to NAV

P/B RatioTangible Book ValueP/S Ratio

5Y revenue CAGR of 23% exceeds industry median 6.7% - growth platform exists if capital structure fixed

Total Revenue 5Y GrowthTotal Revenue TTM

Bear Case

Interest expense 32.3M exceeds operating income 0.5M by 65x - debt service unsustainable without asset sales

Interest Expense TTMOperating Income TTM

ROIC of -11% and ROE of -19% TTM destroying shareholder value; no path to profitability visible

ROIC TTMROE TTMNet Income TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Debt maturity wall forces asset sales or dilutive equity raise within 12 months

3-12mhigh
  • 110M current debt vs 32.6M cash
  • Negative FCF of -15M prevents organic deleveraging
  • 0.76 debt/equity limits additional borrowing capacity
Current debt 110M, cash 32.6M TTMFCF -15M TTM, CFO only 27.6MTotal debt 501M on 659M equity

Gross margin of 56% suggests viable core if operating costs restructured

1-3ylow
  • Gross profit 84.4M on 150.8M revenue
  • Operating expense 83.9M nearly equals gross profit
  • Depreciation 14.7M is non-cash cushion
Gross margin 56% vs industry 61%OpEx 83.9M vs OpInc 0.5M TTMNormalized EBITDA 14.2M positive

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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