Orion Group Holdings Inc
ORNBuild a strategy around ORN
Orion Group Holdings Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- FCF negative (-1.3M TTM) despite 27.6M operating cash flow - capex of 29M consuming all cash generation[Free Cash Flow TTM]
- AR of 213M is 51% of total assets and 43x cash (4.9M) - extreme collection risk concentration[Accounts Receivable]
- Asset turnover 1.96x vs industry median 1.16x - capital efficiency 69% above peers despite thin margins[Asset Turnover TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Accounts Receivable: DSO exceeds 100 days or AR grows faster than revenue — AR is 213M vs 4.9M cash - collection issues would trigger liquidity crisis
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Remains negative for 2+ consecutive quarters — Cannot fund operations internally; would need debt or dilution
- Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 12% — At 13% gross margin, any compression eliminates operating profitability
Bull Case
P/S of 0.52x vs industry median 1.29x - trading at 60% discount on sales basis despite positive operating income
Asset turnover 1.96x generates 836M revenue on 422M assets - operational efficiency partially offsets margin weakness
Bear Case
Net margin 1.1% vs industry 4.0% with 5Y EPS decline of -19% - structurally unprofitable business model
Cash of 4.9M covers only 2.5% of current liabilities (198M) - severe liquidity risk if AR collection slows
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Margin expansion potential if gross profit growth (10% 1Y) continues while revenue flat
- Gross margin 13% improving vs flat revenue (-0.7% 1Y)
- Operating leverage on fixed cost base
- Interest expense 10.4M compressing as debt paid
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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ORN Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$435.17M | — | ||
$498.39M | — | ||
182 | — | ||
$852.26M | +7.0% | — | |
$0.06 | — | ||
1.42% | +0.3% | — | |
0.29% | +0.5% | — | |
$-10.8M | — | ||
1.61% | +2.8% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
ORN Dividend History
ORN Stock Splits
ORN SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
03/04/26 | 12/31/25 | Unknown | |
10/29/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
07/30/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
04/30/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
03/06/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
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05/08/08 | 03/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
03/19/08 | 12/31/07 | 10-K | |
09/30/07 | 09/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
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