OT

Off The Hook YS Inc

OTH
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Off The Hook YS Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 70x with 25.7M current debt vs 392K equity - capital structure is critically distressed[Debt to Equity]
  • Negative tangible book value (-659K) with goodwill at 145% of equity - no asset cushion for creditors[Tangible Book Value]
  • FCF TTM of -7.1M despite positive operating cash flow 5.2M - severe working capital drain from 24.6M inventory[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Current Debt: Any refinancing announcement or covenant breach disclosure25.7M due short-term with only 3.1M cash - refinancing is existential
  • Inventory: Decline below 20M or days inventory outstanding improving24.6M tied up in inventory is primary cash drain - conversion unlocks survival
  • Interest Expense TTM: Increase above 2M or rate reset announcementsAlready consuming 58% of operating income - any increase threatens solvency

Bull Case

Gross profit grew 38% YoY with asset turnover of 3.1x (vs industry 1.6x) - operationally efficient if debt restructured

Gross Profit 1Y GrowthAsset Turnover TTM

P/S of 0.59x vs industry median 0.32x reasonable given 3.1% operating margin vs industry 4.5% median

PS RatioOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

Interest coverage of 1.6x (EBIT 3.1M / interest 1.9M) leaves zero margin for error - any revenue decline triggers default

EBIT TTMInterest Expense TTM

Inventory of 24.6M is 80% of current assets and 23% of revenue - liquidation value likely far below book

InventoryCurrent Assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Survival depends on refinancing 25.7M current debt before liquidity crisis forces distressed sale

3-12mhigh
  • Current debt exceeds total equity by 65x
  • Cash of 3.1M covers only 12% of current debt
  • Interest expense of 1.9M consumes 58% of operating income
Current debt 25.7M vs cash 3.1MInterest expense TTM 1.9M vs EBIT 3.1MWorking capital negative 1.3M
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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