OXY logo

Occidental Petroleum Corp

OXY

Build a strategy around OXY

Accountable AI Logo

Occidental Petroleum Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Net debt of 19.5B at 0.82 debt/equity with 1.2B TTM interest expense consumes 57% of net income - deleveraging critical[Net Debt / Debt to Equity]
  • FCF of 3.8B TTM vs 7.5B capex - capital intensity constrains shareholder returns despite 11.3B operating cash flow[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • 1.3B asset impairment TTM (1.5x industry median) signals potential reserve quality issues or acquisition writedowns[Asset Impairment Charge TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Net Debt: Falls below 15BWould signal meaningful deleveraging progress and reduce equity risk
  • ROIC TTM: Rises above 6%Would indicate capital efficiency improving toward cost of capital
  • Asset Impairment Charge TTM: Exceeds 2BWould signal reserve quality deterioration or acquisition overpayment

Bull Case

EBITDA of 12.1B TTM (36x industry median) provides substantial cushion for debt service at 1.6x net debt/EBITDA

EBITDA TTMNet Debt

Operating margin of 18% at industry median with 68.6B PPE base positions for production upside if oil prices rise

Operating Margin TTMPPE

Bear Case

22.9B total debt at 0.82x equity with only 2.2B cash creates refinancing risk if commodity prices decline

Total DebtCash and EquivalentsDebt to Equity

ROIC of 3.5% TTM vs 5.1% industry median - capital destruction despite massive asset base of 83.5B

ROIC TTMTotal Assets

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

Leverage OXY's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

Debt reduction will accelerate as FCF prioritizes deleveraging over dividends (currently $0/share)

1-3ymed
  • 1.3B net debt repayment TTM
  • 3.8B FCF available for debt service
  • No dividend payout competing for cash
Net long-term debt issuance: -1.3B TTMDividends paid per share: $0 TTMInterest expense: 1.2B (39% of pretax income)

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Occidental Petroleum Corp ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage OXY's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.