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Pricesmart Inc

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Pricesmart Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-19

Snapshot

  • Asset turnover of 2.46x TTM vs industry median 1.64x - capital-light warehouse model generates 50% more revenue per dollar of assets[Asset Turnover]
  • AP of 507M exceeds inventory of 561M TTM - suppliers finance 90% of inventory, reducing working capital needs[Accounts Payable]
  • Revenue growth 8.6% TTM with gross profit growth 9.5% - margin expansion despite inflationary pressures[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin: Falls below 16%Already thin at 17.4% TTM - further compression threatens profitability
  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Declines below 6%Growth premium in valuation requires sustained expansion
  • Accounts Payable: AP/Inventory ratio drops below 80%Supplier financing advantage is key to capital efficiency

Bull Case

Dominant warehouse club in Central America with 2.46x asset turnover and 10% ROIC TTM - capital efficiency drives compounding returns in fragmented retail markets

Asset TurnoverROICTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Low debt/equity of 0.26 with 241M cash TTM provides dry powder for expansion without dilution or leverage risk

Debt to EquityCash and Equivalents

Bear Case

Gross margin 17.4% TTM vs industry median 35.8% - structurally low margins leave minimal buffer for cost inflation or competitive pressure

Gross MarginNet Margin

P/E 25.4x for 8.6% revenue growth implies premium valuation; any growth deceleration compresses multiple quickly

PE RatioTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Latin America/Caribbean warehouse club expansion should sustain 8-10% revenue growth with margin leverage

1-3ymed
  • 3Y revenue CAGR 9.2% in underserved markets
  • Operating margin at industry median with room to scale
  • Capex of 158M TTM funds new club openings
Revenue 5.3B TTM, 3Y growth 9.2%Operating margin 4.5% TTM at medianFCF 103M TTM after growth capex

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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