QC

Qualcomm Inc

QCOM
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Qualcomm Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 28% TTM vs industry median 2.4% - 11x advantage funds 9B R&D spend (20% of revenue)[Operating Margin]
  • Goodwill 11.4B is 54% of equity (21.2B TTM) - acquisition-heavy strategy creates impairment exposure[Goodwill]
  • EPS 3Y CAGR of -25% TTM despite 44.3B revenue - net margin compression from 28% op margin to 12.5% net[EPS Growth 3Y]

Watch Triggers

  • Inventory: Rises above 7B or >35% of current assetsCurrent 6.5B already elevated; further buildup signals smartphone demand deterioration
  • Net Margin: Falls below 10% TTMGap between 28% operating and 12.5% net margin suggests tax/interest pressure intensifying
  • R&D as % Revenue: Drops below 18% of revenue9B R&D (20% TTM) is competitive moat - cuts signal capitulation on diversification

Bull Case

Licensing moat: 28% operating margin TTM (11x industry) with asset-light model (capex 2.7% of revenue) creates durable cash generation

Operating MarginFree Cash FlowCapital Expenditure

ROIC 14.4% TTM vs industry median -0.3% demonstrates capital allocation discipline despite 14.8B debt load

ROICDebt to EquityROE

Bear Case

P/B 21.8x TTM vs tangible book 8.7B - paying 190B market cap for 21.2B equity with 11.4B goodwill embedded

P/B RatioGoodwillTangible Book Value

EPS declined -25% 3Y CAGR TTM while inventory at 6.5B (33% of current assets) signals demand weakness

EPS Growth 3YInventoryNet Margin

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation (12.8B TTM) will fund diversification beyond smartphone dependency

1-3ymed
  • 29% FCF margin enables 3.5B dividend + buybacks
  • Automotive/IoT segments growing faster than mobile
  • R&D at 9B positions for AI edge computing
FCF 12.8B TTM on 1.2B capex (2.7% of revenue)Debt/equity 0.70 provides M&A flexibilityCash flow 14B TTM exceeds net income 5.5B
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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