Rivian Automotive Inc
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Rivian Automotive Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Gross margin turned positive at 3.3% TTM after years of negative - inflection point reached but still burning 489M FCF annually[Gross Margin TTM]
- R&D of 1.6B TTM equals 28% of revenue - 4x industry median ratio signals heavy platform investment phase[Research and Development TTM]
- Cash of 4.4B covers ~9 quarters of burn at current FCF rate (-489M TTM) - runway tightening[Cash and Equivalents]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin TTM: Sustained above 10% — Proves unit economics work at scale - prerequisite for path to profitability
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 2.5B — Would signal imminent capital raise - dilution risk or covenant pressure
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Improves to -200M or better — Would extend runway to 20+ quarters, reducing existential risk
Bull Case
Revenue growth of 78% YoY and 43% 3Y CAGR demonstrates demand exists - gross margin inflection to positive validates unit economics improving
Working capital of 5.9B and 4.4B cash provides runway while competitors exit - consolidation benefits survivors
Bear Case
Operating margin of -58% TTM with 6.5B debt at 1.27x D/E - cash burn of 370M quarterly unsustainable without dilution or debt
P/S of 3.7x on deeply unprofitable company vs industry median 0.85x - priced for perfection with no margin for execution errors
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Path to operating breakeven requires gross margin expansion to 15%+ within 18 months
- R2 platform launch driving manufacturing efficiency
- Fixed cost leverage as production scales
- VW partnership reducing per-unit development costs
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$18.96B | — | ||
$22.03B | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$5.39B | +8.4% | — | |
$-3.07 | — | ||
-66.6% | +27.8% | — | |
-67.7% | +27.8% | — | |
$-2.49B | — | ||
-65.6% | -5.1% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
RIVN Dividend History
RIVN Stock Splits
RIVN SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
02/12/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
11/04/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/05/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/06/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/24/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-K | |
11/07/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/06/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/07/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/26/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/07/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/08/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/09/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/28/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/09/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/11/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/11/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
03/31/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
12/17/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
11/12/21 | 06/30/21 | 424B4 | |
05/11/22 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
11/12/21 | 12/31/20 | 424B4 | |
12/17/21 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q |