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Radiant Logistics Inc

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Radiant Logistics Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-11

Snapshot

  • Asset turnover TTM of 2.26x vs industry median 0.55x - asset-light freight brokerage model generates 4x revenue efficiency[Asset Turnover]
  • Goodwill of 120.7M is 53% of equity (225.7M) - acquisition-heavy growth strategy carries impairment risk[Goodwill]
  • EPS TTM declined 59% YoY despite positive net income (15.2M) - freight cycle downturn compressing margins[EPS Growth 1Y]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin: Sustained above 3%Current 1.8% is trough; recovery to 3%+ signals freight cycle turn and validates bull thesis
  • Goodwill: Impairment charge announced120.7M goodwill impairment would eliminate 80%+ of tangible equity
  • EPS Growth 1Y: Returns to positiveWould signal cyclical bottom and validate margin expansion thesis

Bull Case

Asset-light model (2.26x turnover vs 0.55x median) with positive FCF (11M) through freight downcycle positions for margin expansion in recovery

Asset TurnoverFree Cash Flow TTM

P/S of 0.36x vs industry median 0.90x offers discount despite superior profitability (ROA 3.7% vs median -2.9%)

PS RatioROA TTM

Bear Case

EPS declined 59% in 1Y and -11% CAGR over 5Y - structural margin pressure in commoditized freight brokerage

EPS Growth 1YEPS Growth 5Y

Goodwill 53% of equity with tangible book only 55M vs 332M market cap - 6x P/TB implies acquisition premium at risk

GoodwillPB Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Operating margins likely to expand as freight rates stabilize from cyclical trough

1-3ymed
  • Operating margin 1.8% TTM vs 15% gross margin - room for leverage
  • FCF positive (11M) despite downcycle proves model durability
  • Debt/equity 0.41x provides capacity for opportunistic M&A
Net income 15.2M positive despite -59% EPS declineFCF 11M TTM vs industry median -2.5MInterest expense only 1.7M on 92M debt

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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