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Rush Enterprises Inc

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Rush Enterprises Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • FCF TTM of 693.6M (9% margin) vs industry median 148.7M - 4.7x peer cash generation despite capital-intensive dealership model[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Inventory of 1.66B is 75% of current assets and 7x cash - heavy working capital tie-up creates cyclical exposure[Inventory]
  • Net income TTM 274M vs median 213M with ROE 12.8% near industry median 13.1% - solid but not exceptional returns[Return on Equity TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Profit 1Y Growth: Negative for 2+ consecutive quartersSignals structural margin compression vs cyclical softness
  • Inventory: Exceeds 1.8B or inventory days rise >15%Indicates demand weakness; potential write-downs if trucking cycle turns
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 400MWould constrain debt reduction pace and capital return flexibility

Bull Case

FCF of 693.6M TTM (4.7x industry median) with manageable 0.69 D/E provides flexibility for buybacks, debt reduction, or opportunistic M&A

Free Cash Flow TTMDebt to Equity

Asset turnover 1.67x above median 1.60x shows efficient capital deployment despite heavy inventory; ROIC 7.1% exceeds median 5.0%

Asset Turnover TTMReturn on Invested Capital TTM

Bear Case

Gross profit declined 1.1% YoY while industry median grew 5.7% - pricing power erosion or mix shift in truck/parts sales

Gross Profit 1Y Growth

Current debt 1.0B exceeds cash 242M by 4.2x; inventory-heavy model vulnerable to trucking cycle downturn

Current DebtCash and EquivalentsInventory

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation should fund debt reduction, lowering 0.69 D/E ratio toward 0.5x within 18 months

1-3ymed
  • 693.6M FCF vs 1.52B total debt = 46% coverage
  • Net debt paydown of 232M in TTM period
  • Interest expense 54M is only 8% of EBITDA
Net Issuance Payments of Debt: -232M TTMDebt/Equity: 0.69 vs equity 2.21BFCF TTM: 693.6M

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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