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EchoStar Corp

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EchoStar Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-11

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 35B is 503% of equity (7B) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE 28B. Any impairment destroys equity.[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]
  • 16.5B asset impairment charge TTM drove -13B net loss. Debt/equity at 4.4x with 30.6B total debt vs 2.4B cash.[Asset Impairment Charge TTM]
  • Revenue 3Y CAGR of 94% reflects DISH merger, not organic growth. Operating margin -3.5% vs industry +8.9%.[Total Revenue 3Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Current Debt: Refinancing announcements or maturity extensions4.5B due near-term vs 2.4B cash - inability to refinance triggers default risk
  • Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets: Additional impairment charges >2BWould eliminate remaining 7B equity, potentially triggering debt covenants
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns positive or deteriorates beyond -2.5BDetermines runway without external financing; currently burning 1.8B annually

Bull Case

Revenue base of 15.2B with 25% gross margin provides operational scale. P/S of 2.0x near industry median 1.4x despite distress.

Total Revenue TTMGross Margin TTMP/S Ratio

Positive operating cash flow of 372M TTM shows core business generates cash despite net losses from non-cash impairments.

Cash Flow TTMAsset Impairment Charge TTM

Bear Case

Negative tangible book value (-28B) means equity holders have no asset backing. Additional impairments could trigger covenant breaches.

Tangible Book ValueGoodwill and Other Intangible AssetsTotal Debt

FCF of -1.8B TTM with 4.5B current debt maturing requires refinancing in hostile rate environment or dilutive equity raise.

Free Cash Flow TTMCurrent DebtCash and Equivalents

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Balance sheet stress likely forces asset sales or restructuring within 12-18 months

3-12mhigh
  • 4.5B current debt vs 2.4B cash creates near-term liquidity gap
  • FCF negative 1.8B TTM with 2.1B capex requirements
  • Interest expense 1.2B annually on 30.6B debt load
Current debt 4.5B exceeds cash 2.4BWorking capital negative 3.9BDebt/equity 4.4x vs industry norms

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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