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Seaboard Corp

SEB

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Seaboard Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • P/B of 0.89x means market values SEB below liquidation value despite 8.4% ROE TTM and 4.0B tangible book value[Price to Book Ratio]
  • Gross profit up 44.5% YoY on flat 9% 5Y revenue CAGR signals major margin recovery in commodity operations[Gross Profit 1Y Growth]
  • FCF of 115M TTM constrained by 565M capex (49% of EBITDA) - heavy reinvestment cycle limits near-term returns[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 5%At 7.4% now, drop to 5% would eliminate operating income given fixed cost structure
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative for 2+ quartersWith 513M current debt and 205M cash, negative FCF forces refinancing or asset sales
  • Inventory: Rises above 1.6B1.4B inventory already up 167M YoY - buildup signals demand weakness or margin compression

Bull Case

Trading at 0.89x book with 6% ROIC and 11x P/E - deep value with asset protection. Tangible book of 4.8B exceeds market cap by 13%.

Price to Book RatioROIC TTMP/E Ratio

Vertically integrated pork/grain operations with 9.8B revenue provide inflation hedge and pricing power through commodity cycles.

Total Revenue TTMGross Profit 1Y GrowthAsset Turnover TTM

Bear Case

Razor-thin 2.9% operating margin leaves no buffer - single bad quarter in pork or grain markets erases profitability entirely.

Operating Margin TTMGross Margin TTM

1.9B debt at 0.39x D/E with only 205M cash and 115M FCF - limited flexibility if commodity downturn extends.

Total DebtCash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Margin normalization should drive 15-20% earnings growth as commodity cycle stabilizes

1-3ymed
  • Gross margin recovered to 7.4% from cyclical lows
  • Operating leverage on 9.8B revenue base
  • Capex cycle maturing with 3.2B PPE in place
Gross profit +44.5% YoY vs revenue +9% 5Y CAGROperating margin 2.9% vs industry median 0%EBITDA 816M TTM covering 71M interest 11.5x

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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