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SHF Holdings Inc

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SHF Holdings Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-17

Snapshot

  • Revenue collapsed 76% YoY (TTM 9.5M) with 3Y CAGR of -30% - business in structural decline, not cyclical downturn.[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • Net loss of 53.2M TTM on 9.5M revenue - burning 5.6x annual sales. Cash at 862K covers ~2 months at current burn.[Net Income TTM]
  • Trading at 0.67x book value (7M equity) but P/S of 0.49x masks 560% negative net margin TTM.[P/B Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 500K or capital raise announcedAt 862K with -5.1M annual burn, dilutive raise or bankruptcy imminent
  • Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue stabilizes above 3MWould signal potential business turnaround vs terminal decline
  • G&A Expense: Drops below 1.5M quarterlyCost cuts essential - current 2.6M G&A unsustainable on 9.5M revenue

Bull Case

Book value of 7M vs 4.7M market cap (0.67x P/B) offers asset-based floor if liquidation proceeds exceed liabilities.

P/B RatioTangible Book Value

Low debt (0.11x D/E, 753K total) preserves optionality for rescue financing or M&A.

Debt to EquityTotal Debt

Bear Case

Cash runway of ~2 months at current burn rate (-5.1M FCF TTM) with no clear path to profitability.

Cash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTM

Revenue down 76% YoY and 30% 3Y CAGR suggests business model failure, not temporary headwinds.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
15%

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Forward Thesis

Liquidity crisis likely within 6 months without capital raise or strategic transaction

3-12mhigh
  • Cash of 862K vs FCF burn of -5.1M TTM
  • Revenue declining 76% YoY limits organic recovery
  • G&A of 2.6M alone exceeds quarterly revenue run-rate
Cash 862K, FCF -5.1M TTMRevenue 9.5M TTM, down 76% YoYNet margin -560% TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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