Sherwin-Williams Co
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Sherwin-Williams Co AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- ROE of 59.9% TTM driven by 3.1x debt/equity leverage - tangible book value is negative (-6.8B) due to 7.8B goodwill from acquisitions[Return on Equity]
- Operating margin 15.8% TTM vs industry median near 0% - dominant pricing power in fragmented coatings market[Operating Margin]
- Negative working capital (-1.3B) means suppliers finance operations - asset-light model with 0.93x asset turnover TTM[Working Capital]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin: Falls below 45% TTM — Raw material inflation (TiO2, resins) passing through signals pricing power erosion
- Free Cash Flow: Drops below 2.0B TTM — Would force choice between debt paydown and buybacks, slowing EPS compounding
- Interest Expense: Exceeds 500M annually — Debt refinancing at higher rates compresses net margin from current 11%
Bull Case
Vertically integrated store network (4,800+ locations) creates distribution moat - 15.8% operating margin TTM vs near-zero industry median demonstrates pricing power
Capital-light model generates 2.4B FCF TTM on just 867M capex (3.7% of revenue) - funds buybacks without balance sheet strain
Bear Case
Goodwill of 7.8B is 176% of equity (4.4B) - Valspar acquisition impairment risk if coatings demand weakens materially
P/E of 32.3x TTM vs industry median 20.2x prices in perfection - 13.6B debt at rising rates pressures 431M interest expense
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
FCF will fund accelerated buybacks as housing/remodel cycle recovers, compressing share count 3-4% annually
- 2.4B FCF TTM on 23.3B revenue (10.4% yield)
- 668M net buybacks TTM with 13.6B debt capacity
- Housing starts recovery drives paint demand
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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SHW Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$78.75B | — | ||
$91.48B | — | ||
31 | — | ||
$23.57B | +2.1% | — | |
$10.26 | -0.4% | — | |
16.1% | -0.2% | — | |
10.9% | -0.7% | — | |
$2.65B | +27.4% | — | |
59.4% | -9.7% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
SHW Dividend History
2026
$0.80002025
$3.16002024
$2.86002023
$2.42002022
$2.40002021
$2.20002020
$1.78672019
$1.50672018
$1.14672017
$1.13332016
$1.12002015
$0.89332014
$0.73332013
$0.66672012
$0.52002011
$0.48672010
$0.48002009
$0.47332008
$0.46672007
$0.42002006
$0.33332005
$0.27332004
$0.22672003
$0.20672002
$0.20002001
$0.19332000
$0.1800SHW Stock Splits
SHW SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
02/19/26 | 12/31/25 | Unknown | |
10/28/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
07/24/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
04/29/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/20/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
10/22/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
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04/30/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/20/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
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02/17/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
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05/15/00 | 03/30/00 | Unknown | -- |