SK

Skillz Inc

SKLZ
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Skillz Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Cash burn of -81.6M FCF TTM against 211.8M cash = ~2.6 years runway before capital raise needed[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Operating margin -86% TTM vs industry median 0% - losses dwarf revenue despite 86% gross margin[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Revenue declined -23% 3Y CAGR vs industry median +10% - structural demand erosion[Total Revenue 3Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 100MSignals imminent capital raise or restructuring within 12 months
  • Total Revenue TTM: Stabilizes or grows QoQFirst sign demand erosion halted - prerequisite for any turnaround
  • Operating Expense TTM: Drops below 100MWould indicate credible path to breakeven at current revenue

Bull Case

86% gross margin TTM proves unit economics work - path to profitability exists if opex cut 50% to ~80M

Gross Margin TTMOperating Expense TTM

EV of 3.1M implies market prices near-zero equity value - any turnaround creates asymmetric upside

Enterprise ValueP/B Ratio

Bear Case

Revenue -23% 3Y CAGR with -86% operating margin = death spiral; cost cuts can't outpace shrinking topline

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthOperating Margin TTM

128M debt at 1.01x D/E with negative EBITDA (-76.7M) makes refinancing near-impossible

Total DebtEBITDA TTMDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Cash runway exhaustion by late 2027 forces dilutive raise or strategic sale

1-3yhigh
  • FCF burn rate of -81.6M annually
  • 211.8M cash with 128M debt
  • No path to profitability visible
Operating loss -79.5M TTMRevenue shrinking -23% 3Y CAGRDebt/equity 1.01x limits borrowing
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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