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The E W Scripps Co

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The E W Scripps Co AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-22

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 1.95B is 232% of common equity (842M) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-2.67B), creating material impairment risk[Goodwill]
  • Interest expense TTM (210M) consumes 69% of operating income (305M), leaving only 23M net income despite 417M EBITDA[Interest Expense]
  • Revenue down 18.6% YoY with gross profit down 34.8% - operating leverage working in reverse, margin compression accelerating[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Interest): Falls below 1.0x (currently 1.26x)Would signal inability to service debt from operations, accelerating restructuring timeline
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative or falls below 100MEliminates debt paydown optionality, forces refinancing at likely higher rates
  • Total Revenue TTM: Decline exceeds 10% for second consecutive yearConfirms secular decline thesis, invalidates turnaround case

Bull Case

Trading at 0.15x P/S vs industry median 0.65x - if revenue stabilizes, multiple expansion alone could drive 3-4x upside

P/S RatioEnterprise Value

Operating margin 13.1% vs industry median 5.5% shows underlying business quality; FCF positive at 122M despite revenue decline

Operating Margin TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Bear Case

Debt of 2.77B at 3.3x equity with 210M annual interest creates existential risk - one bad year could trigger covenant issues

Total DebtDebt to EquityInterest Expense

Revenue down 19% and gross profit down 35% YoY signals structural decline in broadcast TV; secular headwinds intensifying

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthGross Profit 1Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Debt burden likely forces asset sales or restructuring within 18 months absent revenue stabilization

1-3ymed
  • Debt/equity at 3.3x with 2.77B total debt
  • FCF of 122M barely covers interest (210M)
  • Revenue declining 19% with no floor visible
Net debt 2.59B vs market cap 359M (7.2x)Cash only 55M vs current debt 9MEPS negative at -$0.59 TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

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