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Alpha Teknova Inc

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Alpha Teknova Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-26

Snapshot

  • Gross profit TTM up 35% YoY while 5Y revenue CAGR only 3% - margin expansion driving improvement despite flat topline[Gross Profit 1Y Growth]
  • FCF of -10.5M TTM with only 3.2M cash remaining - 4 months runway without capital raise or debt draw[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • PPE of 57.5M is 53% of total assets vs 12M intangibles - asset-heavy model with real manufacturing base[Property, Plant & Equipment]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 2M or new financing announcedCapital raise terms will determine dilution magnitude - critical for equity value
  • Gross Margin TTM: Sustains above 35% for 2 quartersWould signal path to profitability without revenue growth dependency
  • Operating Expense TTM: Drops below 25MCurrent 30M opex is 76% of revenue - must compress for viability

Bull Case

Gross margin 31% improving (35% YoY gross profit growth) with asset turnover 0.34 at 1.8x industry median - operational leverage emerging

Gross Margin TTMAsset Turnover TTMGross Profit 1Y Growth

Tangible book value 60.4M vs 216M market cap (3.6x P/B) with real PPE assets - not paying for goodwill

Tangible Book ValueP/B RatioPPE

Bear Case

Operating margin -45% TTM with -18M net loss on 40M revenue - needs 2.5x revenue or 50% cost cuts to breakeven

Operating Margin TTMNet Income TTMOperating Expense TTM

Imminent dilution risk: 3.2M cash, -10.5M FCF, 29M debt already drawn - equity raise appears unavoidable

Cash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTMTotal Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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Forward Thesis

Near-term capital raise likely given 3.2M cash vs -10.5M annual FCF burn

3-12mhigh
  • Cash covers ~4 months of burn rate
  • 29M debt already on balance sheet limits borrowing
  • No stock issuance TTM suggests equity raise pending
Cash: 3.2M, FCF: -10.5M TTMDebt/Equity: 0.40, Long-term debt: 27MStock issuance TTM: 0

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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