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Tootsie Roll Industries Inc

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Tootsie Roll Industries Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-30

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 0.015 vs industry median ~0.5 - essentially debt-free with 79M cash, enabling 100% capital return flexibility[Debt to Equity]
  • Operating margin TTM 14.6% vs industry median 5.1% - 3x profitability advantage in commoditized confectionery[Operating Margin TTM]
  • FCF TTM of 100M (13.7% yield on revenue) vs median 31M - generates 3x peer cash despite 0.5x revenue[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 32%Would signal pricing power erosion or unhedged commodity exposure destroying core advantage
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 75M25% decline would pressure dividend sustainability and signal operational deterioration
  • Total Revenue TTM: Declines YoY for 2+ quartersPremium valuation requires at least stable revenue - shrinkage invalidates multiple

Bull Case

Fortress balance sheet (14M debt, 79M cash, 919M equity) provides downside protection and optionality for opportunistic M&A in fragmented confectionery space

Debt to EquityCash and EquivalentsTotal Equity

FCF conversion of 77% (100M FCF / 130M operating CF) with capex only 3.6% of revenue sustains dividend without reinvestment pressure

Free Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTMCash Flow TTM

Bear Case

P/E of 33x vs industry median 15x prices in perfection - 2x premium requires growth that sub-1B revenue company unlikely to deliver

PE RatioTotal Revenue TTMPS Ratio

Goodwill/intangibles of 248M is 27% of equity - brand impairment risk if consumer preferences shift away from traditional candy

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsCommon Stockholders Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Margin stability will persist as iconic brand pricing power offsets input cost inflation

1-3yhigh
  • Gross margin 36% stable despite commodity volatility
  • Near-zero debt eliminates interest rate sensitivity
  • Family control prioritizes long-term over growth
Operating margin 14.6% vs 5.1% medianDebt/equity 0.015 vs industry normROE 10.5% with minimal leverage

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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