Tootsie Roll Industries Inc
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Tootsie Roll Industries Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Debt/equity of 0.015 vs industry median ~0.5 - essentially debt-free with 79M cash, enabling 100% capital return flexibility[Debt to Equity]
- Operating margin TTM 14.6% vs industry median 5.1% - 3x profitability advantage in commoditized confectionery[Operating Margin TTM]
- FCF TTM of 100M (13.7% yield on revenue) vs median 31M - generates 3x peer cash despite 0.5x revenue[Free Cash Flow TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 32% — Would signal pricing power erosion or unhedged commodity exposure destroying core advantage
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 75M — 25% decline would pressure dividend sustainability and signal operational deterioration
- Total Revenue TTM: Declines YoY for 2+ quarters — Premium valuation requires at least stable revenue - shrinkage invalidates multiple
Bull Case
Fortress balance sheet (14M debt, 79M cash, 919M equity) provides downside protection and optionality for opportunistic M&A in fragmented confectionery space
FCF conversion of 77% (100M FCF / 130M operating CF) with capex only 3.6% of revenue sustains dividend without reinvestment pressure
Bear Case
P/E of 33x vs industry median 15x prices in perfection - 2x premium requires growth that sub-1B revenue company unlikely to deliver
Goodwill/intangibles of 248M is 27% of equity - brand impairment risk if consumer preferences shift away from traditional candy
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
Margin stability will persist as iconic brand pricing power offsets input cost inflation
- Gross margin 36% stable despite commodity volatility
- Near-zero debt eliminates interest rate sensitivity
- Family control prioritizes long-term over growth
Valuation Context
Caveats
TR Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$2.83B | — | ||
$2.73B | — | ||
28 | — | ||
$735.61M | +2.4% | — | |
$1.33 | +15.9% | — | |
13.7% | -1.9% | — | |
13.6% | +1.2% | — | |
$98.89M | -5.6% | — | |
10.9% | +0.5% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
TR Dividend History
2026
$0.09002025
$0.34952024
$0.33692023
$0.32702022
$0.31752021
$0.30832020
$0.29932019
$0.29062018
$0.28212017
$0.27392016
$0.26592015
$0.25122014
$0.22282013
$0.21632012
$0.54062011
$0.20392010
$0.19802009
$0.19222008
$0.18662007
$0.18122006
$0.17592005
$0.15482004
$0.14622003
$0.14082002
$0.13772001
$0.13282000
$0.1255TR Stock Splits
TR SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
05/08/26 | 03/31/26 | 10-Q | |
02/27/26 | 12/31/25 | Unknown | |
11/07/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/08/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
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02/28/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
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11/05/08 | 09/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
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02/29/08 | 12/31/07 | 8-K | |
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