Tronox Holdings PLC
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Tronox Holdings PLC AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Gross margin TTM 9.3% vs industry median 52.8% — cost structure consuming nearly all revenue with COGS at 2.6B on 2.9B sales.[Gross Margin]
- Total Debt TTM 3.4B at 2.4x equity; interest expense TTM 177M exceeds EBITDA TTM of 21M — debt service unsustainable at current earnings.[Debt to Equity]
- FCF TTM -281M driven by 341M capex on a capital-intensive asset base (PPE 2.8B); cash of 199M provides limited runway.[Free Cash Flow]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin: Recovery above 15% for two consecutive quarters — At 9.3% TTM, even modest margin recovery to 15% would roughly double gross profit and begin covering interest.
- Cash and Equivalents: Decline below 100M — With FCF at -281M TTM, cash burn rate suggests ~6-9 months of runway; breach of 100M likely triggers refinancing.
- Inventory: Decline below 1.4B or write-down disclosure — 1.65B inventory is 57% of revenue; material reduction signals either demand recovery or impairment recognition.
Bull Case
P/B TTM 0.73x and P/S TTM 0.36x price in severe distress; tangible book 1.2B exceeds market cap 1.0B, offering asset-floor optionality if TiO2 pricing cycles upward.
Asset turnover TTM 0.47x is 2.3x industry median of 0.20x — operational infrastructure exists to convert a pricing recovery into rapid earnings leverage.
Bear Case
EBITDA TTM 21M cannot service 177M interest expense (8.4x coverage gap). With FCF at -281M and 199M cash, liquidity crisis risk is elevated within 12 months.
Gross margin TTM 9.3% is 83% below industry median 52.8%; 5yr revenue CAGR -1.4% shows no volume recovery — structural cost disadvantage or commodity headwind.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Interest burden will force balance sheet restructuring unless gross margins recover above 20%
- Interest expense TTM 177M is 8.4x EBITDA TTM of 21M
- FCF TTM -281M with only 199M cash remaining
- Gross profit 1yr growth -66.7% signals accelerating margin erosion
Inventory of 1.65B (57% of revenue) signals potential write-down risk or demand weakness
- Inventory TTM 1.65B is 6.1x accounts receivable of 289M
- Revenue 5yr CAGR -1.4% shows no demand recovery trend
- Change in inventory +47M TTM suggests modest destocking
Valuation Context
Caveats
TROX Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$1.18B | — | ||
$4.52B | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$2.92B | -3.9% | — | |
$-2.92 | — | ||
-2.50% | -9.2% | — | |
-15.8% | -10.9% | — | |
$-274.0M | — | ||
-31.2% | -22.7% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
TROX Dividend History
2026
$0.10002025
$0.35002024
$0.50002023
$0.50002022
$0.50002021
$0.36002020
$0.28002019
$0.18002018
$0.18002017
$0.18002016
$0.38502015
$1.00002014
$1.00002013
$1.00002012
$1.5000TROX Stock Splits
TROX SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
05/07/26 | 03/31/26 | 10-Q | |
02/20/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
11/06/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
07/31/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/01/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/19/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-K | |
10/25/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/02/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/02/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/21/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
10/26/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
07/27/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
04/27/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/22/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
10/27/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
07/28/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
04/28/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/22/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
10/28/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
07/29/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
04/29/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/23/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
10/29/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
07/30/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/07/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
03/16/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/12/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/09/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/10/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/28/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/06/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/02/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/10/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
03/01/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
11/09/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
08/09/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
05/04/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
02/24/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
11/03/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
08/04/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/05/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
02/25/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
11/06/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
08/05/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
05/08/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
02/26/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
11/06/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-Q | |
08/07/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
05/08/14 | 03/31/14 | 10-Q | |
02/27/14 | 12/31/13 | 10-K | |
11/07/13 | 09/30/13 | 10-Q | |
08/08/13 | 06/30/13 | 10-Q | |
05/09/13 | 03/31/13 | 10-Q | |
02/28/13 | 12/31/12 | 10-K | |
11/14/12 | 09/30/12 | 10-Q | |
08/10/12 | 06/30/12 | 10-Q | |
05/25/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
12/31/11 | 12/31/11 | Unknown | -- |
09/30/11 | 09/30/11 | 10-Q | -- |
06/30/11 | 06/30/11 | 10-Q | -- |
05/25/12 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
10/19/11 | 12/31/10 | Annual | -- |
09/30/11 | 09/30/10 | 10-Q | -- |
06/30/11 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | -- |
10/19/11 | 12/31/08 | Annual | -- |
11/07/08 | 09/30/08 | 10-Q | |
06/30/08 | 06/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
03/31/08 | 03/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
12/31/07 | 12/31/07 | Unknown | -- |
09/30/07 | 09/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
06/30/07 | 06/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
03/31/07 | 03/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
12/31/06 | 12/31/06 | Unknown | -- |
09/30/06 | 09/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
06/30/06 | 06/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
03/31/06 | 03/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
12/31/05 | 12/31/05 | Unknown | -- |
09/30/05 | 09/30/05 | Unknown | -- |