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TriMas Corp

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TriMas Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 387M is 53% of equity (725M) - acquisition-heavy model with impairment risk if segment performance deteriorates[Goodwill]
  • Revenue growth 17.4% 1Y vs industry median 0.7% - outpacing peers 25x while gross margin expanded to 23% TTM[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • P/E of 35x vs industry median 23x with P/S of 1.4x vs 0.6x median - premium valuation requires continued execution[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 20%Would signal pricing power erosion and invalidate margin expansion thesis
  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Decelerates below 5%Premium valuation requires above-market growth; deceleration triggers multiple compression
  • Goodwill: Impairment charge announced387M goodwill (53% of equity) impairment would materially impact book value

Bull Case

Revenue growth 17.4% 1Y with gross margin expansion to 23% demonstrates pricing power and operating leverage in specialty packaging

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthGross Margin TTMGross Profit 1Y Growth

FCF of 44M TTM (4.4% yield on market cap) with manageable 0.63 debt/equity supports reinvestment and deleveraging

Free Cash Flow TTMDebt to EquityCapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

P/E 35x is 53% premium to industry median 23x - multiple compression risk if growth decelerates from 17% pace

P/E RatioP/S RatioTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

ROIC 3.8% TTM below industry median 3.8% with 455M debt - capital allocation not yet generating adequate returns

ROIC TTMTotal DebtROE TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Margin expansion to continue as revenue scale absorbs fixed costs, driving EPS growth above 10% annually

1-3ymed
  • Gross margin up 27% YoY on operating leverage
  • Revenue 3Y CAGR 7.2% provides volume base
  • Capex 5.8% of revenue enables capacity growth
Gross profit 1Y growth 27.5% vs revenue 17.4%Operating margin 6.8% TTM improvingFCF 44M TTM despite 59M capex

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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