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TRX Gold Corp

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TRX Gold Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-13

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 35.6% TTM vs industry median 0% - rare profitability in gold mining sector where most peers lose money[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Asset turnover 0.60x TTM vs median 0.18x - 3.3x more efficient at converting assets to revenue than peers[Asset Turnover TTM]
  • Capex 13.7M TTM (20% of revenue) consuming 77% of 17.9M operating cash flow - growth phase limiting FCF[Capital Expenditure TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Falls below 10M annuallySignals transition from growth capex to harvest mode, unlocking FCF
  • Net Income TTM: Turns positiveValidates operating profits flow through; current gap to pretax income unexplained
  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 25%Cost advantage erosion would remove key differentiator vs peers

Bull Case

Gross margin 47.5% TTM vs industry median 27% with operating margin 35.6% demonstrates low-cost producer status - sustainable cost advantage in cyclical commodity

Gross Margin TTMOperating Margin TTM

Near-zero leverage (debt/equity 0.08x) with 9.2M cash provides downside protection and M&A capacity in fragmented junior mining sector

Debt to EquityCash and Equivalents

Bear Case

Net income -4.5M TTM despite 25M operating income signals material non-operating charges - likely FX or impairments given Tanzania operations

Net Income TTMOperating Income TTM

P/S 7.3x vs median 6.9x and P/B 9.5x prices in significant growth that requires gold price cooperation and flawless execution

PS RatioPB Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF inflection likely as capex intensity normalizes post-expansion

1-3ymed
  • PPE at 89M suggests mine development maturing
  • Operating cash flow 17.9M already strong
  • Minimal debt (4.6M) preserves optionality
FCF 4.2M TTM despite 13.7M capexDebt/equity 0.08x vs typical minersCash flow 17.9M TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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