Trane Technologies PLC
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Trane Technologies PLC AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- ROIC of 22.7% TTM vs industry median 4.8% - nearly 5x capital efficiency advantage signals durable competitive moat[Return on Invested Capital]
- Goodwill of 6.4B is 77% of equity (8.3B) with negative tangible book value (-1.4B) - acquisition-heavy balance sheet[Goodwill]
- FCF of 2.5B TTM at 12% margin converts 86% of net income to cash - high earnings quality[Free Cash Flow]
Watch Triggers
- Operating Margin: Falls below 16% TTM — Would signal pricing power erosion or input cost pressure compressing premium returns
- Free Cash Flow: FCF conversion drops below 70% of net income — Working capital build or capex surge would challenge capital return thesis
- Goodwill: Any impairment charge >500M — Validates bear case on acquisition strategy and balance sheet quality
Bull Case
ROE 36.8% and ROIC 22.7% TTM are 5x industry medians - pricing power and operational excellence compound shareholder value at premium rates
FCF of 2.5B TTM at 0.55 debt/equity funds 3.66/share dividend (1.2% yield) plus buybacks without leverage increase
Bear Case
P/E 30.3x vs industry median 24.3x and P/S 4.2x vs 2.2x median - premium valuation leaves no margin for execution misses
Negative tangible book (-1.4B) with goodwill 77% of equity - impairment risk if acquired businesses underperform
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
HVAC replacement cycle + energy efficiency mandates drive mid-single-digit organic growth through 2027
- Revenue 3Y CAGR 9.5% vs industry 3.7%
- Operating margin 18.8% expanding on mix shift
- Installed base creates recurring service revenue
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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TT Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$93.22B | — | ||
$96.08B | — | ||
32 | — | ||
$21.32B | +7.5% | — | |
$12.98 | +15.4% | — | |
18.6% | +1.0% | — | |
13.7% | +0.7% | — | |
$2.81B | +1.3% | — | |
36.4% | +0.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
TT Dividend History
2026
$1.05002025
$3.76002024
$3.36002023
$3.00002022
$2.68002021
$2.36002020
$2.12002019
$2.12002018
$1.96002017
$1.70002016
$1.36002015
$1.16002014
$1.00002013
$0.84002012
$0.64002011
$0.43002010
$0.28002009
$0.50002008
$0.72002007
$0.72002006
$0.68002005
$0.57002004
$0.44002003
$0.36002002
$0.34002001
$0.34002000
$0.3400TT Stock Splits
TT SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
02/05/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
10/30/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
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02/06/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-K | |
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02/08/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
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02/10/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
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05/04/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/07/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/03/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
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02/09/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
10/28/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
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02/18/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
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05/01/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/12/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
10/24/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
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02/12/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
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02/13/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
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02/26/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-K | |
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