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United States Antimony Corp

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United States Antimony Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-11

Snapshot

  • P/S ratio of 23.2x vs industry median 6.1x despite -19% operating margin and -15% net margin TTM - extreme valuation disconnect.[P/S Ratio]
  • FCF of -21.3M TTM driven by 16.3M capex (51% of revenue) - burning cash to expand while unprofitable.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • 5Y revenue growth of 54% vs industry median 13% - growth story priced in, but no path to profitability visible.[Total Revenue 5 Year Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Improves to >0%Currently -19%; any positive margin would validate scale thesis and justify capex.
  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 10MWould signal imminent dilution or debt raise given 5M+ annual cash burn.
  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Drops below 5MWould indicate growth investment pause - either capital constraint or strategy shift.

Bull Case

Near-zero debt (0.004 D/E) with 25.5M working capital provides flexibility to weather losses while scaling antimony production.

Debt to EquityWorking Capital

54% 5Y revenue growth with 26% gross margin shows operational progress - scale could unlock operating leverage.

Total Revenue 5 Year GrowthGross Margin TTM

Bear Case

740M market cap on 32M revenue (-4.9M net income) implies 23x P/S - requires 10x+ revenue growth to justify.

P/S RatioMarket Cap TTMNet Income TTM

Operating expenses (14.5M) are 46% of revenue with G&A alone at 6.3M - cost structure incompatible with profitability.

Operating Expense TTMGeneral and Administrative Expense

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Cash runway of ~3 years at current burn rate delays but doesn't eliminate dilution risk.

1-3ymed
  • 18.3M cash vs 5M annual operating cash burn
  • 33.4M raised via stock issuance recently
  • Capex of 16.3M TTM unsustainable without profitability
Cash 18.3M, OCF -5.0M TTMIssuance of Capital Stock 33.4MCapex 16.3M TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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