Urban Outfitters Inc
URBNBuild a strategy around URBN
Urban Outfitters Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- ROE TTM 19.3% vs industry median 9.7% - 2x capital efficiency advantage with zero goodwill on balance sheet[Return on Equity]
- EPS growth 3Y CAGR 47% vs revenue 3Y CAGR 9% - operating leverage driving 5x earnings amplification[EPS Growth 3Y]
- FCF TTM 403M (6.7% yield on market cap) with debt/equity 0.44 - self-funding growth capacity[Free Cash Flow]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 33% — Would signal promotional pressure eroding pricing power and margin expansion thesis
- Change in Inventory: Turns positive (inventory build) — Current 144M reduction is bullish; reversal signals demand weakness or buying missteps
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 300M — 25% decline would compress FCF yield below 4.5%, reducing valuation support
Bull Case
Capital-light model: 403M FCF on 230M capex (1.75x conversion) with zero goodwill risk and tangible book equals total equity at 2.7B
Earnings momentum: EPS 5.28 growing 16% 1Y and 47% 3Y CAGR while industry median EPS declining 11%
Bear Case
Discretionary retail exposure: 6B revenue concentrated in fashion/home with no dividend buffer (0% payout vs industry 2%)
Valuation stretched: P/S 1.16 is 2.6x industry median 0.44 despite gross margin below peers
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
Margin expansion runway intact as Nuuly rental scales and Anthropologie outperforms
- Operating margin 9.5% vs 3.8% industry - room to expand further
- Gross profit 1Y growth 13% outpacing revenue 12%
- Inventory down 144M while payables up 69M - working capital efficiency
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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URBN Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$6.08B | — | ||
$6.93B | — | ||
13 | — | ||
$6.17B | +11.1% | — | |
$5.06 | +18.8% | — | |
9.82% | +1.3% | — | |
7.54% | +0.3% | — | |
$315.02M | -1.6% | — | |
17.6% | +0.0% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
URBN Dividend History
URBN Stock Splits
URBN SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
04/01/26 | 01/31/26 | Unknown | |
12/10/25 | 10/31/25 | 10-Q | |
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04/01/09 | 01/28/09 | Unknown | -- |
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03/28/08 | 01/29/08 | Unknown | -- |
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