Vulcan Materials Co
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Vulcan Materials Co AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Goodwill of 3.8B is 44% of equity and 124% of tangible book - acquisition-heavy model creates impairment risk if aggregate pricing weakens.[Goodwill]
- Operating margin TTM 20.1% vs industry median 0% - pricing power from irreplaceable quarry locations drives 100x+ margin advantage.[Operating Margin TTM]
- FCF TTM 1.1B on 655M capex (8.3% of revenue) - capital-intensive but generating 13.4% FCF margin despite heavy reinvestment.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 18% — Would signal pricing power erosion or cost inflation outpacing price increases
- Goodwill: Impairment charge announced — 3.8B goodwill writedown would materially impact equity and signal overpayment for acquisitions
- Capital Expenditure TTM: Exceeds 900M (11%+ of revenue) — Rising capex intensity would compress FCF and suggest reserve depletion requiring replacement
Bull Case
Local monopoly economics: quarries have 30-50 mile economic radius, creating natural barriers. 20% operating margin vs 0% industry median reflects pricing power.
EPS growth 39% 1Y and 13.5% 5Y CAGR with stable margins suggests operational leverage kicking in as volumes recover post-pandemic.
Bear Case
P/E 36.4x vs industry median 27.7x and P/B 12.7x prices in infrastructure boom - any volume disappointment compresses multiple.
Net debt 4.2B at 0.56 D/E with 248M interest expense (22% of operating income) limits M&A flexibility if rates stay elevated.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Infrastructure spending tailwinds should sustain mid-single-digit volume growth through 2027
- IIJA federal infrastructure funding entering peak deployment years
- Reshoring manufacturing driving non-residential construction demand
- Aggregate reserves are depleting assets with multi-decade replacement cycles
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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VMC Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$38.65B | — | ||
$43.35B | — | ||
36 | — | ||
$7.94B | +7.1% | — | |
$8.11 | +10.3% | — | |
19.7% | +0.9% | — | |
13.6% | +1.3% | — | |
$1.14B | +40.8% | — | |
12.9% | +1.2% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
VMC Dividend History
2026
$0.52002025
$1.96002024
$1.84002023
$1.72002022
$1.60002021
$3.48002020
$1.36002019
$1.24002018
$1.12002017
$1.00002016
$0.80002015
$0.40002014
$0.22002013
$0.04002012
$0.04002011
$0.76002010
$1.00002009
$1.48002008
$1.96002007
$1.84002006
$1.48002005
$1.16002004
$1.04002003
$0.98002002
$0.94002001
$0.90002000
$0.8400VMC Stock Splits
VMC SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
02/19/26 | 12/31/25 | Unknown | |
10/30/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
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