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Williams Companies Inc

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Williams Companies Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 34.3% TTM vs industry median 27.1% - infrastructure moat generating 1.3x peer profitability on 11.5B revenue[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Debt/equity 2.24x with 28B total debt consuming 1.4B interest TTM - 44% of operating income services debt[Debt to Equity]
  • EPS growth 30% 1Y vs industry median -16% while gross profit grew 20% - margin expansion outpacing revenue[EPS Growth 1Y]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 1.6B (>40% of EBIT)Currently 30% of EBIT - rising rates on 28B debt could compress earnings materially
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 1.5B or capex exceeds 4BDividend coverage already stretched at 101% payout - FCF decline forces cut
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 2.5xAlready elevated leverage - further increase signals balance sheet stress

Bull Case

60% gross margin with 40B PPE creates regulated infrastructure moat - natural gas demand secular tailwind from AI/data centers

Gross Margin TTMPPEOperating Margin TTM

ROIC 5.9% TTM at industry median despite heavy capex cycle - returns should expand as projects complete

ROIC TTMCapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

P/E 31.8x vs industry median 15x - premium valuation leaves no margin of safety if rates stay elevated

P/E RatioP/S RatioP/B Ratio

Negative working capital -3.1B and only 70M cash with 2.4B current debt due - refinancing risk in tight credit

Working CapitalCash and EquivalentsCurrent Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

FCF constrained by 3.8B capex TTM limits dividend growth despite 5.5B operating cash flow

1-3yhigh
  • Capex 33% of revenue vs 2.4% industry median
  • FCF yield only 2.3% on 76B market cap
  • Dividend payout 1.98/share near EPS of 1.95
FCF 1.7B TTM vs 5.5B operating CFCapex -3.8B TTM for pipeline expansionDividends consuming 101% of EPS

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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