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XOMA Royalty Corp

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XOMA Royalty Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Net margin 172% TTM (21.6M net income on 12.6M revenue) - royalty model generates income exceeding revenue via non-operating gains[Net Margin TTM]
  • Debt/equity 1.22 with 13.4M interest expense TTM consuming 107% of revenue - leverage is structural risk[Debt to Equity]
  • FCF negative (-15.3M TTM) despite profitable operations - 20.7M capex/acquisitions driving cash burn[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds operating income for 2+ consecutive quartersSignals debt refinancing need or equity dilution risk
  • Total Revenue TTM: Falls below 10M or rises above 20MIndicates royalty portfolio contraction or milestone acceleration
  • Cash and Equivalents: Drops below 30MWould require capital raise within 18 months at current burn

Bull Case

78% operating margin TTM with minimal R&D (2.3M) creates high-leverage exposure to partner drug success without clinical risk

Operating Margin TTMResearch and Development TTM

ROE 22% and ROIC 10% TTM positive vs industry medians deeply negative (-39% ROE) - rare profitable biotech model

ROE TTMROIC TTM

Bear Case

Interest expense 13.4M exceeds operating income 9.9M excluding one-time gains - debt service unsustainable on operations alone

Interest Expense TTMOperating Income TTM

Revenue declined -0.9% 5yr CAGR vs industry +7% median - royalty stream not growing organically

Total Revenue 5yr Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Royalty portfolio value hinges on milestone payments and partner drug approvals, not operating execution

1-3ymed
  • 18M M&A spend TTM signals active portfolio expansion
  • Operating income 9.9M sustainable vs volatile net income
  • 45M cash provides 3yr runway at current burn
Operating margin 78% TTM vs industry median 0%Net income 21.6M includes non-operating itemsCash 45M vs current debt 14M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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