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Albertsons Companies Inc

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Albertsons Companies Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-11

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 4.7x with 14.6B total debt vs 3.1B equity; tangible book value is negative (-373M) indicating balance sheet stress.[Debt to Equity]
  • ROE TTM of 32% vs industry median 7% driven by extreme leverage, not operational excellence - equity base is thin at 3.1B.[Return on Equity TTM]
  • P/E of 10.1x and P/S of 0.12x are 62% and 58% below industry medians - priced for no growth or structural decline.[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 1.5%At 1.9% now, further compression threatens debt coverage and dividend sustainability
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative or below 400MCurrently 659M barely covers 321M dividend; decline forces dividend cut or more debt
  • Debt to Equity: Exceeds 5.5xAlready at 4.7x with negative tangible equity; further leverage risks covenant breaches

Bull Case

Deep value at 10x P/E and 0.12x P/S with 81.4B revenue base; 3.3% dividend yield provides income while waiting for turnaround.

P/E RatioP/S RatioDividends Paid Per Share TTM

Asset turnover of 3.0x exceeds industry median 2.2x - efficient capital deployment generates 81B revenue from 27B assets.

Asset Turnover TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Bear Case

Negative tangible book (-373M) and 4.7x debt/equity create existential risk if margins compress further from 1.9% operating margin.

Tangible Book ValueDebt to EquityOperating Margin TTM

EPS declining -19% 3Y CAGR with net margin of 1.2% leaves no buffer; 451M annual interest consumes 46% of net income.

EPS Growth 3yrNet Margin TTMInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation will remain constrained by heavy capex requirements and debt servicing costs

1-3yhigh
  • Capex TTM of 1.9B consumes 75% of operating cash flow
  • Interest expense of 451M TTM on 14.6B debt
  • Working capital deficit of -1.6B limits flexibility
FCF TTM only 659M vs 2.6B operating cash flowInterest coverage (EBIT/Interest) at 3.6xEPS declining -19% 3Y CAGR, -10% 5Y CAGR
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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