Agree Realty Corp
ADCAgree Realty Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Operating margin TTM 47.9% vs industry median 17.8% - 2.7x advantage from triple-net lease model with minimal operating costs[Operating Margin TTM]
- 5Y revenue CAGR 23.5% vs industry median 6.6% - aggressive acquisition-driven growth outpacing REIT peers 3.5x[Total Revenue 5Y Growth]
- FCF TTM 484M equals 100% of operating cash flow - zero capex burden as tenants maintain properties[Free Cash Flow TTM]
Watch Triggers
- ROIC TTM: Falls below 2.0% — Signals acquisitions destroying value vs cost of capital - growth becomes dilutive
- Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 150M — Would consume 77%+ of net income, forcing dividend cut or equity raise
- Gross Profit 1Y Growth: Declines below 10% — Indicates acquisition pipeline drying up or spread compression
Bull Case
Triple-net lease structure delivers 88% gross margin and 48% operating margin with zero capex - tenants bear all property costs
23.5% 5Y revenue CAGR with 19% gross profit growth shows scalable acquisition machine still finding accretive deals
Bear Case
ROE 3.6% and ROIC 2.2% barely exceed cost of capital - growth funded by equity dilution destroying per-share value
Goodwill 967M is 17% of equity - retail tenant credit risk concentrated in single-tenant properties
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
Acquisition pace likely to moderate as interest expense (127M TTM) now consumes 65% of net income
- Debt/equity 0.60 approaching sector norms
- Interest expense up while rates elevated
- Net debt 3.3B vs 194M net income
Public Strategies Rankings
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ADC Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$8.16B | — | ||
$11.57B | — | ||
41 | — | ||
$688.64M | +14.7% | — | |
$1.77 | -0.7% | — | |
47.9% | -1.0% | — | |
28.1% | -3.5% | — | |
$484.22M | +10.4% | — | |
0.04 | -0.1% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
ADC Dividend History
2026
$0.26202025
$3.08102024
$3.00002023
$2.91902022
$2.80502021
$2.60402020
$2.40502019
$2.28002018
$2.15502017
$2.02502016
$1.92002015
$1.84502014
$1.74002013
$1.64002012
$1.60002011
$1.60002010
$2.04002009
$2.02002008
$2.00002007
$1.97002006
$1.96002005
$1.96002004
$1.95002003
$1.93502002
$1.84002001
$1.84002000
$1.8400ADC Stock Splits
ADC SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
10/21/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
07/31/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
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