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Aethlon Medical Inc

AEMD

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Aethlon Medical Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-31

Snapshot

  • Zero revenue TTM with -7.1M operating loss - pure cash burn pre-commercial biotech at ~19 months runway (5.9M cash / ~7M annual burn)[Total Revenue TTM]
  • Trading at 0.02x book value (110K market cap vs 5.7M equity) - extreme discount implies market expects equity wipeout or delisting[P/B Ratio]
  • Raised 3.7M via stock issuance TTM - dilution-funded survival with only 40K shares outstanding signals prior reverse splits[Issuance of Capital Stock]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 3MWould signal <12 months runway, forcing emergency dilution or strategic sale
  • Total Revenue TTM: Any revenue recognition >0First commercial revenue would fundamentally change thesis from cash-burn to operating company
  • Issuance of Capital Stock: New raise >5M announcedWould extend runway but at severe dilution given micro-cap status

Bull Case

Extreme P/B of 0.02x means any positive clinical/commercial news could drive 10-50x rerating from distressed levels

P/B RatioTangible Book Value

Clean balance sheet (0.09 debt/equity, 4.8M working capital) provides negotiating flexibility for partnerships or M&A

Debt to EquityWorking Capital

Bear Case

Zero revenue with 7M annual burn and 110K market cap - structurally uninvestable for institutions, limiting capital access

Total Revenue TTMMarket Cap TTM

ROE of -191% and ROIC of -172% TTM - destroying capital rapidly with no visibility to profitability

ROE TTMROIC TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Binary outcome: either successful capital raise/partnership or equity near-zero within 24 months

1-3yhigh
  • Cash runway under 2 years at current burn
  • Zero revenue requires external funding
  • Micro-cap status limits financing options
5.9M cash vs 7.1M annual cash burn TTMMarket cap 110K vs 5.7M book value3.7M raised TTM via dilution

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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