AGNC Investment Corp
AGNCAGNC Investment Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Revenue TTM up 122% YoY vs industry median 2.3% - massive outperformance driven by rate environment positioning[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
- Net margin 87.7% TTM vs industry median 14.7% - 6x advantage reflects mREIT leverage model efficiency[Net Margin TTM]
- ROE 9.6% TTM vs industry median 4.5% - 2x peer returns despite 109B asset base with minimal debt/equity (0.006)[ROE TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 3.2B (12% increase) — Spread compression would eliminate net income given 2.85B already exceeds 956M revenue
- Tangible Book Value: Falls below 8B (10% decline) — MBS mark-to-market losses would signal portfolio stress and potential equity raise
- Net Investment Purchase and Sale: Turns positive (net selling) — Portfolio liquidation would indicate defensive positioning or liquidity needs
Bull Case
122% revenue growth with 87.7% net margin TTM demonstrates exceptional rate cycle positioning. ROE 9.6% doubles industry median with FCF of 604M funding operations.
Near-zero debt/equity (0.006) with 1.9B cash provides flexibility. 22B investment purchases show active portfolio management to capture spread opportunities.
Bear Case
Interest expense 2.85B TTM is 3x revenue - any spread compression destroys profitability. 97.5B liabilities on 11.4B equity = 8.5x leverage amplifies losses.
Dividends paid per share shows 0 TTM vs industry activity - potential distribution sustainability concerns for income-focused investors.
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
Interest income sustainability depends on Fed rate trajectory and MBS spread compression
- Interest income 903M TTM anchors revenue
- 2.85B interest expense creates rate sensitivity
- 22B investment purchases signal active repositioning
Book value stability at risk if MBS marks deteriorate in rising rate scenario
- Tangible book 8.95B vs 109B assets = 8% equity cushion
- Gain on sale 688M boosted current results
- Preferred issuance 334M signals capital needs
Public Strategies Rankings
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AGNC Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$12.61B | — | ||
$12.21B | — | ||
18 | — | ||
$956.0M | -24.1% | — | |
$0.67 | -55.0% | — | |
0% | — | ||
87.7% | -3.9% | — | |
$604.0M | — | ||
0.10 | -7.1% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
AGNC Dividend History
2026
$0.12002025
$1.44002024
$1.44002023
$1.44002022
$1.44002021
$1.44002020
$1.56002019
$2.00002018
$2.16002017
$2.16002016
$2.30002015
$2.48002014
$2.61002013
$3.75002012
$5.00002011
$5.60002010
$5.60002009
$5.15002008
$2.5100AGNC Stock Splits
AGNC SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
10/31/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/01/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/02/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/21/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-K | |
11/01/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/05/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/07/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/22/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/06/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/03/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/08/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/27/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/07/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/04/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/09/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/23/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/05/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/05/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/07/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/26/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
11/05/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
08/07/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/11/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
02/25/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/05/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/05/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/03/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/22/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/05/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/06/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/07/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
02/26/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
11/03/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
08/03/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
05/08/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
02/27/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
11/07/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
08/05/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/05/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
02/23/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
11/06/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
08/05/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
05/06/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
02/25/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
11/06/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-Q | |
08/07/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
05/09/14 | 03/31/14 | 10-Q | |
02/27/14 | 12/31/13 | 10-K | |
11/07/13 | 09/30/13 | 10-Q | |
08/08/13 | 06/30/13 | 10-Q | |
05/09/13 | 03/31/13 | 10-Q | |
02/27/13 | 12/31/12 | 10-K | |
11/08/12 | 09/30/12 | 10-Q | |
08/09/12 | 06/30/12 | 10-Q | |
05/10/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
02/23/12 | 12/31/11 | 10-K | |
11/07/11 | 09/30/11 | 10-Q | |
08/09/11 | 06/30/11 | 10-Q | |
05/06/11 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
02/25/11 | 12/31/10 | 10-K | |
11/08/10 | 09/30/10 | 10-Q | |
08/06/10 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | |
05/03/10 | 03/31/10 | 10-Q | |
02/24/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-K | |
10/22/09 | 09/30/09 | 10-Q | |
07/31/09 | 06/30/09 | 10-Q | |
05/06/09 | 03/30/09 | 10-Q | |
02/17/09 | 12/31/08 | 10-K | |
10/31/08 | 09/30/08 | 10-Q | |
08/14/08 | 06/30/08 | 10-Q |