AL
Alico Inc
ALCO—
Alico Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Gross margin -436% TTM (cost 236M vs revenue 44M) - business model fundamentally broken, not cyclical downturn[Gross Margin]
- Revenue down 30% over 5Y while P/S ratio 6.3x vs industry median 1.3x - paying premium for shrinking, loss-making asset[P/S Ratio]
- Cash 38M with 86M debt at 0.83 D/E - 18 months runway at current burn before liquidity crisis[Debt to Equity]
Watch Triggers
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 20M — At -2.7M operating cash flow TTM, triggers liquidity crisis within 12 months
- Gross Margin: Improves above -100% — Would signal citrus recovery - currently at -436%, any improvement is material
- PP&E: Decreases significantly from 142M — Asset sales would confirm liquidation thesis and provide cash runway
Bull Case
PP&E 142M + land assets may exceed market cap 278M if citrus disease abates - pure asset play with 2.8x P/B potentially understating real estate value
PP&EP/B RatioTangible Book Value
FCF positive 14.6M TTM despite massive operating losses - cash management buying time for turnaround or sale
Free Cash FlowCash and Equivalents
Bear Case
Cost of revenue 5.4x revenue (236M vs 44M TTM) - citrus greening disease has structurally destroyed unit economics with no recovery path
Cost of RevenueGross MarginOperating Margin
ROIC -55% TTM destroying capital faster than peers (median -42%) - every dollar invested loses 55 cents annually
ROICROEROA
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
25%
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Forward Thesis
Asset liquidation or strategic sale most likely outcome within 12-24 months
1-3ymed
- Tangible book 101M vs market cap 278M suggests land value speculation
- Unsustainable operating losses (-204M TTM) depleting equity
- PP&E of 142M represents core citrus land assets
Net income -147M TTM on 44M revenueROE -83% destroying shareholder value5Y revenue CAGR -30%
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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ALCO Fundamentals
Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting → Crop Production
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$299.91M | — | ||
$347.33M | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$44.07M | -5.5% | — | |
$-21.55 | — | ||
-463% | -318.1% | — | |
-334% | -349.3% | — | |
$14.62M | — | ||
-0.83 | -86.0% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
ALCO Dividend History
81 dividends
2026
$0.050001/02/26$0.0500
2025
$0.150009/26/25$0.0500
06/27/25$0.0500
03/28/25$0.0500
2024
$0.200012/27/24$0.0500
09/27/24$0.0500
06/28/24$0.0500
03/27/24$0.0500
2023
$0.200012/28/23$0.0500
09/28/23$0.0500
06/29/23$0.0500
03/30/23$0.0500
2022
$1.550012/29/22$0.0500
09/29/22$0.5000
06/23/22$0.5000
03/24/22$0.5000
2021
$1.680012/30/21$0.5000
09/23/21$0.5000
06/24/21$0.5000
03/25/21$0.1800
2020
$2.360012/23/20$0.1800
09/24/20$0.0900
07/01/20$2.0000
03/26/20$0.0900
2019
$0.270012/26/19$0.0900
09/26/19$0.0600
06/27/19$0.0600
03/28/19$0.0600
2018
$0.240012/27/18$0.0600
09/27/18$0.0600
06/28/18$0.0600
03/28/18$0.0600
2017
$0.240012/28/17$0.0600
09/28/17$0.0600
06/28/17$0.0600
03/29/17$0.0600
2016
$0.240012/28/16$0.0600
09/28/16$0.0600
06/28/16$0.0600
03/29/16$0.0600
2015
$0.240012/29/15$0.0600
09/28/15$0.0600
06/26/15$0.0600
03/27/15$0.0600
2014
$0.300012/29/14$0.0600
09/26/14$0.0600
06/26/14$0.0600
03/27/14$0.1200
2013
$0.360012/27/13$0.1200
09/26/13$0.0800
06/26/13$0.0800
03/26/13$0.0800
2012
$0.200012/26/12$0.0800
09/26/12$0.0400
06/27/12$0.0400
03/28/12$0.0400
2011
$0.160012/28/11$0.0400
10/27/11$0.1200
2010
$0.100010/27/10$0.1000
2009
$0.687510/28/09$0.1375
07/29/09$0.1375
04/28/09$0.1375
01/28/09$0.2750
2008
$0.825010/29/08$0.2750
07/29/08$0.2750
04/28/08$0.2750
2007
$1.100012/26/07$0.2750
09/26/07$0.2750
06/27/07$0.2750
03/28/07$0.2750
2006
$1.050012/27/06$0.2750
09/27/06$0.2750
06/28/06$0.2500
03/29/06$0.2500
2005
$1.500012/28/05$0.2500
09/28/05$0.2500
06/28/05$1.0000
2003
$0.600010/15/03$0.6000
2002
$0.350010/09/02$0.3500
2001
$1.000010/10/01$1.0000
2000
$1.000010/11/00$1.0000
ALCO Stock Splits
No stock splits
ALCO SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/24/25 | 09/30/25 | Unknown | |
08/12/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/13/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/12/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-Q | |
12/02/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-K | |
08/05/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/06/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/07/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-Q | |
12/06/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-K | |
08/03/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/04/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/06/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-Q | |
12/13/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-K | |
08/03/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/09/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/03/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-Q | |
12/07/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-K | |
08/05/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/05/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/04/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-Q | |
12/08/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-K | |
08/06/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/11/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
02/06/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-Q | |
12/05/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-K | |
08/06/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/07/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/11/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-Q | |
12/06/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-K | |
08/06/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/07/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
02/06/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-Q | |
12/11/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-K | |
08/07/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
05/08/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
02/06/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-Q | |
12/06/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-K | |
08/04/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/05/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
02/08/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-Q | |
12/10/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-K | |
08/05/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
05/11/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
02/09/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-Q | |
12/12/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-K | |
08/11/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
05/06/14 | 03/31/14 | 10-Q | |
02/06/14 | 12/31/13 | 10-Q | |
12/09/13 | 09/30/13 | 10-K | |
08/06/13 | 06/30/13 | 10-Q | |
05/06/13 | 03/31/13 | 10-Q | |
02/06/13 | 12/31/12 | 10-Q | |
12/05/12 | 09/30/12 | 10-K | |
08/09/12 | 06/30/12 | 10-Q | |
05/10/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
02/09/12 | 12/31/11 | 10-Q | |
12/14/11 | 09/30/11 | 10-K | |
08/09/11 | 06/30/11 | 10-Q | |
05/10/11 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
02/09/11 | 12/31/10 | 10-Q | |
12/14/10 | 09/30/10 | 10-K | |
08/09/10 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | |
05/10/10 | 03/31/10 | 10-Q | |
02/09/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-Q | |
12/14/09 | 09/30/09 | 10-K | |
08/10/09 | 06/30/09 | 10-Q | |
05/11/09 | 03/30/09 | 10-Q | |
02/09/09 | 12/31/08 | 10-Q | |
12/15/08 | 09/30/08 | 8-K | |
08/11/08 | 06/30/08 | 8-K | |
05/09/08 | 03/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
02/15/08 | 12/31/07 | NT 10-Q | |
11/14/07 | 08/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
07/16/07 | 05/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
04/09/07 | 02/28/07 | 10-Q | |
01/09/07 | 11/30/06 | 10-Q | |
08/31/06 | 08/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
05/31/06 | 05/31/06 | 8-K | |
02/28/06 | 02/28/06 | 4 | |
11/30/05 | 11/30/05 | 4 | |
08/31/05 | 08/30/05 | Unknown | -- |
07/07/05 | 05/30/05 | Unknown | -- |
04/11/05 | 02/28/05 | 10-Q | |
01/10/05 | 11/30/04 | 10-Q | |
11/15/04 | 08/30/04 | Unknown | -- |
07/14/04 | 05/30/04 | Unknown | -- |
04/14/04 | 02/29/04 | 8-K | |
01/13/04 | 11/30/03 | 10-Q | |
11/19/03 | 08/30/03 | Unknown | -- |
07/14/03 | 05/30/03 | Unknown | -- |
04/11/03 | 02/28/03 | 10-Q | |
01/13/03 | 11/30/02 | 10-Q | |
11/15/02 | 08/30/02 | Unknown | -- |
07/15/02 | 05/30/02 | Unknown | -- |
04/15/02 | 02/28/02 | 10-Q | |
01/14/02 | 11/30/01 | 10-Q | |
11/30/01 | 08/30/01 | Unknown | -- |
07/16/01 | 05/30/01 | Unknown | -- |
04/12/01 | 02/28/01 | 10-Q | |
01/12/01 | 11/30/00 | 10-Q | |
11/29/00 | 08/30/00 | Unknown | -- |
07/13/00 | 05/30/00 | Unknown | -- |
04/14/00 | 02/29/00 | 10-Q |