AL

Altimmune Inc

ALT
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Altimmune Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-09

Snapshot

  • Cash burn of -66.4M TTM FCF against 61.2M cash = ~11 months runway without new financing[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • R&D spend of 67.8M TTM is 75% of operating expenses - pure clinical-stage biotech profile[Research and Development TTM]
  • Revenue of 20K TTM (essentially zero) with -72% 5Y growth - pre-commercial company[Total Revenue TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 40MWould signal <6 months runway, forcing emergency financing at worst terms
  • Net Common Stock Issuance: New offering announcedTiming and size of next raise determines dilution magnitude
  • Research and Development TTM: Drops >20% QoQCould signal program termination or pivot - bullish for cash, bearish for pipeline

Bull Case

Trading at 2.66x book with 185.6M tangible equity and minimal debt (0.09 D/E) - balance sheet provides downside floor if pipeline has value

P/B RatioDebt to EquityTangible Book Value

204M working capital cushion and low interest expense (761K) means no near-term solvency crisis despite losses

Working CapitalInterest Expense TTM

Bear Case

Cash runway of ~11 months guarantees dilutive financing or partnership at potentially distressed terms

Cash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTM

ROE of -52.6% and ROA of -45.8% with zero commercial revenue = pure option on clinical success

ROE TTMROA TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Binary outcome: pemvidutide Phase 2b data will determine if ALT survives or dilutes heavily

3-12mhigh
  • 61.2M cash vs 66.4M annual burn forces action within 12 months
  • 39.6M raised TTM via stock issuance shows dilution pattern
  • No meaningful revenue to offset R&D spend
End Cash Position: 61.3MNet Common Stock Issuance TTM: 39.6MFCF TTM: -66.4M
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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