AM
Amazon.com Inc
AMZN—
Amazon.com Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- CapEx of 120.1B TTM (17% of revenue) vs FCF of 10.6B - massive infrastructure buildout consuming cash generation[Capital Expenditure TTM]
- Operating margin TTM 11% vs industry median 1.9% - 5.7x advantage despite retail-heavy mix[Operating Margin TTM]
- EPS 3Y CAGR of 82% dwarfs industry median of -3.8% - profit inflection accelerating[EPS Growth 3Y]
Watch Triggers
- Capital Expenditure TTM: Declines below 100B or CapEx/Revenue below 14% — Signals CapEx peak and FCF inflection - core bull thesis catalyst
- Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 9% for two consecutive quarters — Would indicate AWS/advertising margin pressure or retail drag intensifying
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Rises above 40B — Validates CapEx normalization thesis and supports valuation
Bull Case
OCF of 130.7B TTM demonstrates massive earnings power masked by 120B CapEx cycle - FCF yield could triple as AI infrastructure spend peaks
Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTMFree Cash Flow TTM
ROIC of 17% on 420B invested capital with debt/equity of 0.37 - efficient capital deployment with conservative leverage
ROIC TTMDebt to EquityInvested Capital
Bear Case
P/E of 38x and P/S of 3.6x vs industry medians of 37x and 1.4x - priced for perfection with limited margin of safety
PE RatioPS Ratio
FCF yield of 0.4% (10.6B/2.5T EV) - current cash returns negligible despite massive revenue base
Free Cash Flow TTMEnterprise Value
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
55%
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Forward Thesis
AWS and advertising margins will expand FCF to 50B+ as CapEx intensity normalizes
1-3ymed
- CapEx/Revenue at 17% vs historical 10-12%
- Operating cash flow 130.7B proves earning power
- High-margin segments growing faster than retail
OCF TTM 130.7B vs FCF 10.6B - 120B CapEx gapOperating margin 11% vs 1.9% industry medianNet margin 11% on 691B revenue base
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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AMZN Fundamentals
Retail Trade → Nonstore Retailers
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$2.41T | — | ||
$2.48T | — | ||
37 | — | ||
$691.33B | +11.5% | — | |
$5.96 | +23.0% | — | |
11.0% | +1.3% | — | |
11.1% | +3.0% | — | |
$10.56B | -75.4% | — | |
0.24 | +1.8% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
AMZN Dividend History
No dividends
AMZN Stock Splits
1 stock split
06/06/221:20 split
AMZN SEC Filings
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