AN

Angel Studios Inc

ANGX
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Angel Studios Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Debt-to-equity of 12.9x with only 2.9M equity and 38M debt - balance sheet severely strained with negative tangible book value (-797K)[Debt to Equity]
  • Burning 56M cash TTM with only 28M remaining - current burn rate implies ~6 months runway without financing[Cash Flow TTM]
  • 65% gross margin TTM vs industry median 38% shows content economics work; execution/scale is the problem[Gross Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 15M or no financing announcedAt current burn, triggers going concern risk within 3-6 months
  • Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue exceeds 60M (annualized 240M+)Would indicate content hit driving scale needed for path to profitability
  • Operating Expense TTM: Drops below 150M without revenue declineSignals management executing cost discipline to extend runway

Bull Case

Gross margin of 65% (vs 38% industry median) proves content model economics; if hit content scales like 'Sound of Freedom', operating leverage could flip rapidly

Gross Margin TTMGross Profit 1Y Growth

848M market cap on 186M revenue (4.6x P/S) prices in distress; successful content hit or strategic buyer could unlock significant upside

P/S RatioMarket Cap TTM

Bear Case

Equity nearly wiped out (2.9M) with 140M liabilities - technical insolvency risk if content pipeline disappoints or financing unavailable

Total EquityTotal LiabilitiesDebt to Equity

Revenue grew only 4.3% YoY while burning 106M net loss - growth not justifying cash consumption, dilution or default increasingly likely

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthNet Income TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Capital raise or strategic transaction likely within 12 months given cash runway constraints

3-12mhigh
  • 28M cash vs 56M annual burn
  • 30M current debt maturing
  • Negative working capital of -14.6M
Cash Flow TTM: -55.8MCurrent Debt: 29.6MWorking Capital: -14.6M

Path to profitability requires 50%+ revenue growth or 40%+ opex reduction

1-3ymed
  • Operating loss of 101M on 186M revenue
  • Opex of 222M exceeds total revenue
  • R&D at 13M suggests limited scaling leverage
Operating Margin TTM: -54%Operating Expense TTM: 222MRevenue growth: 4.3% YoY
Valuation Context
Caveats

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