AP

Aptevo Therapeutics Inc

APVO
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Aptevo Therapeutics Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-17

Snapshot

  • Zero revenue TTM with 26.7M operating loss - pure clinical-stage biotech burning 14.9M on R&D annually[Total Revenue TTM]
  • Negative EV (-12.9M) as 21.1M cash exceeds 4.2M market cap - market pricing in near-certain failure[Enterprise Value]
  • Cash runway ~9 months at -6.7M operating burn rate; 18.3M equity raise in period bought time[Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 10MTriggers forced financing at distressed terms or strategic sale
  • Total Revenue TTM: Any revenue recognition >0Would signal partnership deal or milestone payment - thesis-changing
  • Shares Outstanding: Increases >50% from 4.0MMassive dilution would confirm capital desperation

Bull Case

Trading at 0.24x book value with negative EV - any positive clinical data or partnership creates asymmetric upside from 4.2M market cap base

P/B RatioEnterprise ValueMarket Cap TTM

Clean balance sheet with 0.23 debt/equity and 17M working capital provides flexibility for strategic options without creditor pressure

Debt to EquityWorking CapitalTotal Debt

Bear Case

Zero revenue with -152% ROE TTM and 26.5M annual net loss - fundamentally uninvestable without clinical catalyst that may never materialize

Total Revenue TTMROE TTMNet Income TTM

Chronic dilution risk: 18.3M raised vs 4.2M market cap means existing shareholders face 4x+ dilution to fund operations through any milestone

Net Common Stock IssuanceMarket Cap TTMShares Outstanding

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
25%

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Forward Thesis

Cash runway exhaustion by Q3 2026 will force dilutive financing or strategic transaction

3-12mhigh
  • 21.1M cash vs 6.7M quarterly burn rate
  • Zero revenue pipeline with no near-term commercialization
  • Recent 18.3M raise signals ongoing capital dependency
Cash and Equivalents: 21.1MOperating Cash Flow TTM: -6.7MNet Common Stock Issuance: 18.3M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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