Aurora Innovation Inc
AUR
Aurora Innovation Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- R&D of 722M TTM consumes 361x revenue (2M) - pure technology bet with zero commercial traction yet[Research and Development TTM]
- Cash burn of 577M TTM vs 87M cash on hand - raised 469M in equity TTM, ~2 years runway at current rate[Cash Flow TTM]
- Debt/equity of 0.05 with 1.2B working capital - clean balance sheet despite losses, dilution is the funding model[Debt to Equity]
Watch Triggers
- Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 50M (25x current) — Any commercial traction validates technology; current 2M is effectively zero
- Cash Flow TTM: Burn rate exceeds 700M annually — Accelerates dilution timeline - current 1.2B buffer shrinks faster
- Issuance of Capital Stock: New equity raise announced — Timing and terms signal market confidence and dilution impact
Bull Case
1.2B working capital buffer with minimal debt (0.05 D/E) provides runway for autonomous tech development without near-term solvency risk
722M R&D spend (99% of opex) signals all-in technology focus - winner-take-most AV market could justify current losses
Bear Case
Negative gross margin (-5%) with 2M revenue TTM - no path to profitability visible, pure cash incinerator
FCF of -608M TTM requires continuous dilution; 469M equity raised TTM already - shareholders funding R&D indefinitely
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
Cash runway exhaustion will force equity raise within 18-24 months at current burn rate
- 577M annual cash burn vs 87M cash
- 469M raised TTM shows dilution pattern
- No revenue inflection visible
Public Strategies Rankings
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AUR Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$7.75B | — | ||
$7.77B | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$2.0M | — | ||
$-0.45 | — | ||
-43,100% | -43100.0% | — | |
-40,150% | -40150.0% | — | |
$-608.0M | — | ||
-0.37 | -1.3% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
AUR Dividend History
AUR Stock Splits
AUR SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
10/28/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
07/30/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/08/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/14/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
10/31/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
07/31/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/09/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/15/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/02/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/03/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/04/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/21/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/03/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/12/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/12/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
03/11/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/03/22 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/12/22 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/12/22 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q |