AV

Broadcom Inc

AVGO
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Broadcom Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 97.8B is 133% of equity (73.3B) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-58.9B). VMware integration risk is material.[Goodwill]
  • EPS growth TTM of 180% vs revenue growth implies massive margin expansion post-VMware. Operating margin 39% vs industry median 2.4%.[EPS Growth 1Y TTM]
  • FCF of 24.9B TTM (42% margin) on just 508M capex - asset-light model generates 49x capex in free cash annually.[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 35%VMware synergy thesis fails; margin compression signals integration issues or pricing pressure
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 20BThreatens dividend sustainability (11.2B annual) and debt reduction capacity
  • Goodwill: Any impairment chargeAt 133% of equity, even 10% writedown wipes 13% of book value

Bull Case

FCF machine: 24.9B TTM (42% margin) with minimal capex (0.8% of revenue) funds 2.3/share dividend and debt paydown while maintaining R&D at 17% of revenue.

Free Cash Flow TTMCapital Expenditure TTMR&D TTM

Profitability moat: Operating margin 39% is 16x industry median (2.4%), ROE 27% vs -0.4% median - structural advantage from IP portfolio and scale.

Operating Margin TTMROE TTMGross Margin TTM

Bear Case

Valuation stretched: P/E 99x (3x industry median 32x), P/S 32.5x (11x median 3x). Any margin miss or AI slowdown reprices aggressively.

P/E RatioP/S Ratio

Balance sheet risk: 64.2B debt (0.88x equity), goodwill 133% of equity. VMware impairment or rate spike materially impacts.

Total DebtGoodwillDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

VMware synergies will drive operating margin expansion from 39% toward 45% within 18 months

1-3ymed
  • R&D leverage: 10.2B spend across larger revenue base
  • SG&A consolidation from VMware integration
  • Subscription transition improving revenue quality
Operating margin 39% TTM vs 2.4% industry medianEPS growth 180% TTM outpacing revenue growthFCF margin 42% shows conversion efficiency

AI semiconductor demand will sustain premium multiples despite 99x P/E

1-3ylow
  • Custom AI accelerator wins with hyperscalers
  • Networking chip demand for AI infrastructure
  • Software recurring revenue from VMware
Revenue 59.9B TTM (142x industry median)ROIC 13.9% vs industry median -0.3%Net income 18.9B TTM demonstrates scale
Valuation Context
Caveats

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