BF

Saul Centers Inc

BFS
Accountable AI Logo

Saul Centers Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 12.1x with 1.6B total debt vs 132M common equity - extreme leverage for REIT sector[Debt to Equity]
  • ROE TTM of 27.1% vs industry median 4.6% - high returns driven by leverage, not operating efficiency[Return on Equity TTM]
  • Interest expense of 64.8M TTM consumes 55% of operating income (118.7M) - thin coverage margin[Interest Expense TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 60% of operating incomeSignals coverage deterioration that could force equity dilution or asset sales
  • Current Debt: Refinancing terms on 185M maturityRate on refinancing directly impacts earnings given thin margins
  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 10MNear-zero liquidity buffer amplifies any operational disruption

Bull Case

Operating margin of 42% TTM vs industry median 17.8% shows pricing power in retail/mixed-use portfolio

Operating Margin TTMGross Margin TTM

FCF of 106M TTM fully covers 14.3M dividends with 7.4x coverage - sustainable payout despite leverage

Free Cash Flow TTMCommon Stock Dividend Paid

Bear Case

12.1x debt/equity with only 11.8M cash creates existential refinancing risk if credit markets tighten

Debt to EquityCash and EquivalentsCurrent Debt

ROIC of 2.1% TTM barely exceeds cost of debt - value destruction if rates rise 100bps

Return on Invested Capital TTMInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

Leverage BFS's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

Interest rate sensitivity will dominate returns given 1.6B debt at thin coverage ratios

1-3yhigh
  • 185M current debt maturing needs refinancing
  • Interest at 55% of operating income leaves no buffer
  • Net debt of 1.58B vs 12M cash
Total debt 1.59B vs cash 11.8M TTMInterest expense 64.8M vs EBIT 116.2M TTMCurrent debt 185M due near-term
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

See how Saul Centers Inc ranks across different investment strategies.

Leverage BFS's top insights and create a custom strategy in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.