Saul Centers Inc
BFSSaul Centers Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Debt/equity of 12.1x with 1.6B total debt vs 132M common equity - extreme leverage for REIT sector[Debt to Equity]
- ROE TTM of 27.1% vs industry median 4.6% - high returns driven by leverage, not operating efficiency[Return on Equity TTM]
- Interest expense of 64.8M TTM consumes 55% of operating income (118.7M) - thin coverage margin[Interest Expense TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 60% of operating income — Signals coverage deterioration that could force equity dilution or asset sales
- Current Debt: Refinancing terms on 185M maturity — Rate on refinancing directly impacts earnings given thin margins
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 10M — Near-zero liquidity buffer amplifies any operational disruption
Bull Case
Operating margin of 42% TTM vs industry median 17.8% shows pricing power in retail/mixed-use portfolio
FCF of 106M TTM fully covers 14.3M dividends with 7.4x coverage - sustainable payout despite leverage
Bear Case
12.1x debt/equity with only 11.8M cash creates existential refinancing risk if credit markets tighten
ROIC of 2.1% TTM barely exceeds cost of debt - value destruction if rates rise 100bps
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Interest rate sensitivity will dominate returns given 1.6B debt at thin coverage ratios
- 185M current debt maturing needs refinancing
- Interest at 55% of operating income leaves no buffer
- Net debt of 1.58B vs 12M cash
Public Strategies Rankings
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BFS Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$771.87M | — | ||
$2.35B | — | ||
28 | — | ||
$282.62M | +5.6% | — | |
$1.14 | -38.7% | — | |
42.0% | -4.4% | — | |
13.8% | -7.0% | — | |
$106.39M | -15.0% | — | |
0.27 | -3.4% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
BFS Dividend History
2026
$0.59002025
$2.36002024
$2.36002023
$2.36002022
$2.32002021
$2.16002020
$2.12002019
$2.12002018
$2.08002017
$2.04002016
$1.84002015
$1.69002014
$1.56002013
$1.44002012
$1.44002011
$1.44002010
$1.44002009
$1.53002008
$1.88002007
$1.77002006
$1.68002005
$1.60002004
$1.56002003
$1.56002002
$1.56002001
$1.56002000
$1.5600BFS Stock Splits
BFS SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/06/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/07/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/08/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/28/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
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02/29/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
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05/15/00 | 03/31/00 | 10-Q |