BS

Banco Santander (Brasil) SA

BSBR
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Banco Santander (Brasil) SA AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • P/B of 0.50x implies market values equity at 50% of book - trading below tangible book of 90.9B vs 45.8B market cap[Price to Book Ratio]
  • FCF TTM is -20.3B despite 11.9B net income - massive cash consumption from balance sheet growth or working capital[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Dividend yield of 10.3% (1.75/share vs 1.70 EPS) - payout exceeds earnings, unsustainable without FCF turnaround[Dividends Paid Per Share TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns positive or loss narrows >50%Validates that negative FCF is growth-driven, not structural - unlocks rerating
  • Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut below 1.00/shareSignals management acknowledges cash flow unsustainability - removes yield support
  • Net Margin TTM: Falls below 20%Interest expense pressure overwhelming core profitability - bear thesis confirmed

Bull Case

Extreme valuation discount: P/E 3.6x, P/B 0.50x, trading at 50% of tangible book (90.9B). If FCF normalizes, multiple expansion alone drives 50-100% upside.

Price to Book RatioPE RatioTangible Book Value

Core profitability strong: 25.3% net margin, 9.9% ROE with conservative 0.20 debt/equity. Balance sheet can support growth without dilution.

Net Margin TTMROE TTMDebt to Equity

Bear Case

Negative FCF of -20.3B is 1.7x net income - if structural (not growth-driven), dividend cut imminent and book value erodes

Free Cash Flow TTMCash Flow TTMDividends Paid Per Share TTM

Revenue declining -2.6% 1Y while interest expense (97.2B) is 2x revenue (47.2B) - margin compression risk if rates stay elevated

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthInterest Expense TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Cash flow normalization could unlock 50%+ revaluation to book value

1-3ylow
  • Negative FCF likely from loan book growth, not structural losses
  • Net margin of 25.3% proves core profitability intact
  • P/E of 3.6x prices in permanent impairment that may not materialize
Net Income TTM 11.9B vs FCF -20.3B gap of 32BROE TTM 9.9% positive despite cash burnTotal Assets 1.26T growing (implied from cash position)
Valuation Context
Caveats

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