CA

Camden National Corp

CAC
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Camden National Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Revenue up 44% YoY (TTM) vs industry median 10% - exceptional growth for a regional bank, likely from rate environment or acquisition.[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • Interest expense of 117M (TTM) exceeds net income of 57M - funding costs consuming 51% of pretax income, squeezing margins.[Interest Expense]
  • Goodwill of 152M is 22% of equity (676M) - moderate acquisition history with manageable impairment exposure.[Goodwill]

Watch Triggers

  • Net Interest Margin: Falls below 2.5%Interest expense already 51% of pretax income - further compression threatens profitability
  • Current Debt: Refinancing terms disclosed494M current debt is 73% of equity - refinancing rate determines 2027 earnings
  • ROE: Drops below 8%Already below industry median 10% - further decline signals structural issues

Bull Case

FCF of 80M (TTM) covers dividend of 7M by 11x with 35% FCF margin - sustainable payout with 4.2% yield at current price.

Free Cash FlowDividends Paid Per Share

P/E of 11.4x below industry median 12.6x, P/B of 1.6x with tangible book of 481M - modest discount for profitable bank.

PE RatioPB RatioTangible Book Value

Bear Case

Current debt of 494M (7x long-term debt) creates refinancing cliff - rate increases would crush already thin 0.9% ROA.

Current DebtLong Term DebtROA

EPS 5Y CAGR of 1% vs 3Y CAGR of 8% masks deterioration - revenue surge not translating to earnings growth.

EPS Growth 5YEPS Growth 3YTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Net margin compression likely as rate cycle turns - 25% margin unsustainable with 82% debt/equity.

1-3ymed
  • Current debt of 494M (89% of total debt) needs refinancing
  • Interest expense already 2x net income
  • ROE of 9.5% below industry median 10%
Debt/equity 0.82 vs typical bank 0.5-0.7Net margin TTM 25% vs industry median 26%Current debt 494M vs long-term 62M
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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