CE

Cemtrex Inc

CETX

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Cemtrex Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-02

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 6.2x with 22.6M total debt against only 3.6M equity - balance sheet severely strained with tangible book value negative (-93K)[Debt to Equity]
  • ROIC of -84% TTM vs industry median -22% - destroying capital at 4x the rate of struggling peers[ROIC]
  • Asset turnover 1.68x vs industry median 0.30x - efficient revenue generation but losses consume operating leverage[Asset Turnover]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 5MWould signal <3 months runway at current burn rate, forcing distressed capital raise
  • Operating Income: Turns negative (currently 1.9M positive)Only positive profitability metric - loss here removes any turnaround thesis
  • Accounts Receivable: Exceeds 15M or DSO extendsAlready 17% of revenue; collection issues would accelerate cash crisis

Bull Case

Gross margin 43% TTM is healthy vs industry median 51% - core business viable if SG&A rationalized; 30.9M opex on 76M revenue is fixable

Gross MarginOperating Expense

P/S ratio 0.09x vs industry median 2.6x - if turnaround succeeds, 20x+ upside to peer valuation

P/S RatioTotal Revenue

Bear Case

Net loss 20.5M TTM on 76M revenue (-27% margin) with equity of only 3.6M - one more bad quarter could trigger insolvency

Net IncomeNet MarginCommon Stockholders Equity

Goodwill 3.7M is 103% of equity - any impairment wipes out remaining book value entirely

GoodwillCommon Stockholders Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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20%

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Forward Thesis

Liquidity crisis likely within 12 months without equity raise or asset sales

3-12mhigh
  • Current debt 12.1M exceeds working capital 4.9M
  • FCF negative -766K with 1.9M annual interest burden
  • Cash 7M covers ~4 months of operating losses
Net debt 13.5M vs market cap 7MAlready issued 1.5M equity TTMOperating cash 1.5M insufficient for debt service

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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