CI

CION Invt Corp

CION
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CION Invt Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Net margin TTM of 68.9% vs industry median 95% - high but interest expense of 93.5M (2.5x revenue) signals leverage-dependent model[Net Margin]
  • Trading at 0.64x book value (14.84/share) while paying 9.7% dividend yield (1.44/share TTM) - deep discount to NAV[Price to Book Ratio]
  • Debt/equity of 1.4x with 1.08B total debt vs 772.5M equity - BDC leverage near regulatory limits[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • EPS: Falls below $0.36/quarter (annualized $1.44)Would confirm dividend cut is imminent - key catalyst for NAV discount to widen
  • Net Asset Value Per Share: Declines below $14.00 from current $14.84Signals credit losses materializing in portfolio - destroys margin of safety thesis
  • Debt to Equity: Exceeds 1.5xBDC regulatory leverage limits - would force asset sales or equity raise

Bull Case

36% discount to book value (0.64x P/B) with 9.7% dividend yield offers margin of safety if credit quality holds

Price to Book RatioDividends Paid Per Share

Revenue grew 13.6% YoY vs industry median decline of 0.9% - portfolio expansion in rising rate environment

Total Revenue 1Yr GrowthTotal Revenue

Bear Case

EPS collapsed 66% YoY while dividend maintained at $1.44 - payout ratio unsustainable without realized gains

EPS Growth 1YrDividends Paid Per ShareEPS

Interest expense of 93.5M is 2.5x total revenue of 37.7M - spread compression or credit losses would devastate returns

Interest ExpenseTotal RevenueDebt to Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Dividend sustainability at risk if credit losses rise - EPS of $0.49 doesn't cover $1.44 dividend

3-12mhigh
  • EPS TTM $0.49 vs dividend $1.44 - 3x payout gap
  • Interest expense 93.5M exceeds total revenue 37.7M
  • ROE of 3.2% vs industry median 8.6%
EPS down 66% YoY TTMFCF of 50.5M covers dividend 18.7M for nowCash position fell from 6.5M to 3.9M
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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