CL

Clorox Co

CLX
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Clorox Co AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Negative equity (-22M) with 3.1B debt - liabilities exceed assets by 22M, yet generates 636M FCF TTM funding 4.90 dividend[Total Equity]
  • Working capital -539M with AP of 1.9B vs inventory 577M - suppliers finance operations, cash conversion advantage[Working Capital]
  • EPS down -58% 1Y and -29% 5Y CAGR while paying 109% of earnings as dividends - unsustainable payout ratio[Dividend Payout Ratio Avg 5Yr]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 40%Currently 44.3%, down from higher levels; further erosion threatens dividend coverage
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 600MAt 636M, barely covers ~603M annual dividend; any decline forces cut or debt
  • Total Debt: Exceeds 3.5BAt 3.1B with negative equity, additional leverage increases refinancing risk

Bull Case

Operating margin 14.9% TTM is 4.6x industry median (3.2%), demonstrating pricing power in consumer staples despite gross profit down 26% YoY

Operating Margin TTMGross Margin TTM

Negative working capital (-539M) with 1.9B AP means suppliers fund inventory - asset-light model generates 636M FCF on minimal invested capital

Working CapitalFree Cash Flow TTM

Bear Case

Negative equity (-22M) with goodwill 1.2B = any impairment deepens insolvency; tangible book -1.8B signals balance sheet fragility

Total EquityGoodwillTangible Book Value

EPS collapsed -58% 1Y, gross profit -26% 1Y - margin compression accelerating while dividend consumes 109% of 5Y avg earnings

EPS Growth 1YrGross Profit 1Yr GrowthDividend Payout Ratio Avg 5Yr

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Dividend sustainability at risk - 109% payout ratio requires margin recovery or debt increase

1-3yhigh
  • EPS 5.91 TTM vs 4.90 dividend = 83% current payout
  • 5Y avg payout 109% indicates chronic earnings shortfall
  • Negative equity limits debt capacity for dividend funding
Dividend payout ratio 5Y avg: 109%Total debt 3.1B on -22M equityFCF 636M covers 603M dividend (barely)
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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