CM

CMB.Tech NV

CMBT
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CMB.Tech NV AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • Interest expense TTM (350M) exceeds net income (165M) by 2.1x - debt service consuming 27% of revenue despite 21% operating margin.[Interest Expense]
  • FCF TTM is -908M driven by 1.26B capex (96% of revenue) - aggressive fleet expansion burning cash despite 811M EBITDA.[Free Cash Flow]
  • EPS collapsed 97.7% YoY while revenue grew 105% - margin compression and interest burden destroying earnings leverage.[EPS Growth 1Y]

Watch Triggers

  • Capital Expenditure: Drops below 500M annuallySignals fleet expansion complete, FCF inflection imminent
  • Interest Expense: Exceeds 400M or rises above 30% of revenueDebt service consuming operating profits, equity at risk
  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 50M with current debt at 621MLiquidity crisis forcing dilutive equity raise or asset sales

Bull Case

Revenue doubled YoY (+105%) with gross profit up 31% - scale benefits emerging as fleet utilization improves post-expansion.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthGross Profit 1Y Growth

Trading at 1.16x P/B with 7.4B PPE backing 2.7B market cap - hard asset coverage provides downside protection.

P/B RatioPPETangible Book Value

Bear Case

Debt/Equity of 2.2x with 5.6B total debt vs 82M cash - refinancing risk acute if rates stay elevated or charter rates fall.

Debt to EquityTotal DebtCash and Equivalents

P/E of 328x on collapsing earnings (-97.7% EPS) signals market pricing in recovery that may not materialize.

P/E RatioEPS Growth 1Y TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Capex cycle peak suggests FCF inflection within 12-18 months as fleet expansion completes

1-3ylow
  • Capex at 96% of revenue unsustainable long-term
  • PPE of 7.4B now 88% of total assets
  • Operating cash flow of 348M shows core profitability
EBITDA margin 62% vs net margin 12.6%Operating margin 21% indicates viable core business3Y revenue CAGR 26.7% justifies expansion
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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